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Old 01-01-2010, 05:41 PM   #10
Bill Lyster
Grade 1
 
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
Posts: 2,491
This race a real head scratcher. Probably decided at the break!


1 - S -slow and out
2 - Has won as E, but can't outrun #12 early; needs large open lengths as leader;appears slower as a P
5 - SP or S - in tandem with 12, could pick up if pace breaks down
6 - P Lost in tandem to 8 and 10 Out
8 - Another that has won E, but can't win if E; must run as P
10 - EP - won't take lead and should track,
12 - E - pace horse at 21.9 and 44.4
13 - E or P: enuf works to go ahead with this race; if E this is the horse that cooks the 12; pressed but did not win in his second back
14 - Ugh, 3rd in tandem with 12 and 5

Several horses have won on the lead, but have to run as pressers today and their presser lines aren't very good.

If 12 receives little challenge, he could wire field. Many could and I suspect one or more might try. If 12 cracks, I'll take the 10 and 5, in that order and box all three

Happy New Year to all,
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