12-07-2009, 04:03 PM
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#4
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Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: pittsburgh, now! Lancaster, CA.
Posts: 2,531
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sq764
Race 4:
(Note: 2/5 shot in here… 5 and 7 show only early speed)
BL: VDC 1= 7,1; VDC 3 = 5; VDC 4 = 6
ML Odds: 2/5, 6/1, 7/2, 30/1
Likely Play: PASS.. Just don’t see any value in a Maiden with a 2/5 shot that looks like a monster compared to this field
Race 5:
(Note: 9 shows possible Lone Early Speed)
BL: VDC 1 = 4,7; VDC 3 = 1,5; VDC 4 = 8
ML Odds: 3/1, 15/1, 20/1, 10/1, 2/1
Likely Play: Since 9 is 5/2 ML and likely short price as lone speed, will hide the 3/1 and 2/1 and play the 1,5 to win and box 1,5,8 exacta
Race 6:
BL: VDC 1 = 9; VDC 2 = 2,6; VDC 3 = 5, VDC 4 = 1
ML Odds: 9/2, 3/1, 4/1, 7/2, 6/1
Likely Play: Will have to wait for post time to see who is value of the 9,6,1… Otherwise pass..
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sq, r6 i have 9 @ 20-1 mnr 12-7-09. and in the 4th 7 @ 1-2(may be cutting hairs here) am i wrong?
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