Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post - RDSS Update + Decision Model Workbook

RichieP · 07-14-2009, 06:01 PM

One simple yet pretty cool use of the Pace of Race tab coming this week:

This is the finale at Suffolk today. Best of last 3 using default settings

1st screen shot shows Bl/Bl and 3 good overlays in top 3 with favs below. Wagercapping potential for sure if we can get a run and some luck.

Bomb sitting tier 3 (#3 @17/1) is highest odds overlay in top 3. 2nd screenshot shows his pps and is coming off sharp win and rising in company.

3rd screenshot shows pace of horse velocities.

4th screenshot shows the pace of RACE velocities and here you see that the #3 Bomb ran against BOTH the fastest 1c and 2c pace of RACE velocity.

Certainly can do nothing except tap up your confidence a bit on a long shot wager. Is that a reasonable call? Forget the possibilities longer term with a bit of modeling in the workbook or record storer of your choice.

So longshot bet in tier 3 now also shows fastest pace of race 1c and 2c from its paceline race (last line)

5th screenshot is the result chart.

$37.00

07-14-2009, 06:01 PM	#15
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,019	Pace of Race / Pace of Horse One simple yet pretty cool use of the Pace of Race tab coming this week: This is the finale at Suffolk today. Best of last 3 using default settings 1st screen shot shows Bl/Bl and 3 good overlays in top 3 with favs below. Wagercapping potential for sure if we can get a run and some luck. Bomb sitting tier 3 (#3 @17/1) is highest odds overlay in top 3. 2nd screenshot shows his pps and is coming off sharp win and rising in company. 3rd screenshot shows pace of horse velocities. 4th screenshot shows the pace of RACE velocities and here you see that the #3 Bomb ran against BOTH the fastest 1c and 2c pace of RACE velocity. Certainly can do nothing except tap up your confidence a bit on a long shot wager. Is that a reasonable call? Forget the possibilities longer term with a bit of modeling in the workbook or record storer of your choice. So longshot bet in tier 3 now also shows fastest pace of race 1c and 2c from its paceline race (last line) 5th screenshot is the result chart. $37.00 Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!" Last edited by RichieP; 07-14-2009 at 06:27 PM.