Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

BJennet · 05-21-2009, 10:16 PM

With all the E types in this race, I also thought it would run as a 'match-up' race until I ran the download. None of the OTE horses were in the top 3 TE, AFAIK. It's very hard to win at either SA or HOL without it. Hard, in fact, even to win as #3 TE. I've been tracking this and a few other stats at various tracks and been blown away by the dominance of TE at HOL. For example, during 5/14-5/17 last week, 13 out of the 16 races I checked were won there by either #1 or #2 TE, two by #3, one by #4. This is using typical Sartin filters of best of last three at comparable distance and surface, and also filtering out maidens and 3yos races.

BTW in this race the #7 was the 2nd ranked TE, winning at 9.5-1, a good example of why the Methodology is so great.

Cheers,

B Jennet

05-21-2009, 10:16 PM	#34
BJennet Grade 1 Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 311	Total energy rules at HOL With all the E types in this race, I also thought it would run as a 'match-up' race until I ran the download. None of the OTE horses were in the top 3 TE, AFAIK. It's very hard to win at either SA or HOL without it. Hard, in fact, even to win as #3 TE. I've been tracking this and a few other stats at various tracks and been blown away by the dominance of TE at HOL. For example, during 5/14-5/17 last week, 13 out of the 16 races I checked were won there by either #1 or #2 TE, two by #3, one by #4. This is using typical Sartin filters of best of last three at comparable distance and surface, and also filtering out maidens and 3yos races. BTW in this race the #7 was the 2nd ranked TE, winning at 9.5-1, a good example of why the Methodology is so great. Cheers, B Jennet