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I tend to agree with your analysis on Nan. Here is the velocity screen and while it shows Nan with second best F2, she is last to the 2nd call, has worst TS of the group and her F3 can only overtake Gabby (maybe). With the 5th best TE and more than 2 TE pts from the best, it does not bode well Except if two or more horses go head to head up front (that's the hope anyway).
I am going to post sometime soon about other aspects of the Velocity screen, but note that the first two horses at the 2nd call have computer generated ESPs of P and L, whereas my visual call is P on both. The visual EPs have L computer generated ESPs. At this point I'm not sure if this is good or not. The 5 and 8 look to overpower the two EPs with superior 2F moves, that would negate better looking 3F info (See RA). The 8 was in a tandem with the 6, so needs to improve or have a speed matchup that eliminates the 6. 8 is young enuf to improve, so she will make the double and pick three tickets as well, IMHO.
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