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For years I tried to hit 100% of my races doing this I was stuck with a low 18- 19% win rate with a small loss on the dollar. It wasn't till I stopped doing this that my win rate doubled and my roi went positive. I fully realize that sometimes the only way that I will come up with a winner is too go back 5 or 6 pacelines to get him, but this also adds more confusion , you are adding more variables thus more opportunities to make mistakes.
In a field of 10 horses if you only look at the last 3 lines you have 30 possible combinations, if you look at all 10 lines you have 100 possible combinations. I found that by limmiting myself to the top 3 lines that I will miss out on 15 % of potential winners, but I will be much more accurate in hitting my potential 85 % of the races thus my win % wented up and now I make money.
Mike.
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