[jms62]

Originally Posted by Tim Y

ANYTHING that takes my ROI from 0.55 to 1.38 is a worthwhile maneuver.

Pizzolla's Handicapping Magic has many a good ideas, but the Pizzolla turf window shines above all the rest. It is a simple, predictive idea exclusive to turf handicapping.

In a nutshell, in his discussing the definition of form cycles, (which on dirt have strict definitions between a horses' last good race and more recent signs of improvement), he simply states that on GRASS, one opens the form cycle up completely and considers the best turf line in the past ten races. Recency does NOT play into our use of the best of last three comparable here. It is that looking deeper that makes this angle get much better mutuels.

I am trying to locate a play by play of this that worked very well when I was trying to become Woodbine's Horseplayer Interactive handicapper (still have not given up on that either as the replacement hired, named Rippy, gives out nothing but chalk day in and day out) from Turf Paradise with the eventual winner, a horse named Gehrig (a standout with three lines better than the field which paid over $25.00) and will go through the entire logic behind the final choice. Give me about 48 hours to get together the entire card and result chart.

STEP ONE is to just choose the best turf line on each horse (THE BEST turf TPP), then go to the incremental deceleration chart and eliminate those that show nothing.

STEP TWO: go back to those that show promise and add their second, third and fourth best TPP on turf and go to the incremental chart to see how those lines compare to the field.......I will show how this focused on Gehrig, and the place horse was the contra-energy on turf (early).

Hw may give out chalk but he gives it out before the race is run