Thread: Layoff logic
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Old 10-10-2005, 01:02 PM   #19
TaWee
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FLAWED logic

Quote:
Originally Posted by Fast4522
This runner did not have the Credentials to stack up against the runners it was running against. Binders screen shots do a better job of discounting it as a contender. The Speculator Match up screen must be worthless and flawed to reflect this runner as a contender. At this point looking at that screen shot I would have to contend VALIDATOR 3C as being a better product and urge people to go with VAL3C. So that makes VAL3C is the defacto standard, the Validator being the last product Doc Sartin approved of.
Basing a decision of dominance (Val or Spec) on a SINGLE sample is LUDICROUS. Sample error abounds in projecting HISTORY upon FUTURE performance. As many times as ONE program scores, I can give you just as many times it is the OTHER way round. Imagine that you were an advanced guard of Martians coming to invade the Earth and landed in a field in Wisconsin and ONLY saw rabbits hopping around then based your ENTIRE strategy for invading based upon that SINGLE observation. "There are no strong beings here to conquer. Only these weak rabbits." SAMPLE ERROR

Secondly, the winner was right there on the SAME readout. The reason we are told to BET TWO horses is based on the fact that even with a solid PROJECTION, many times a horse does not fire again.

Ever hear of "leaping to conclusions?" I'm afraid you did that here.
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