Quote:
Originally Posted by MIKE1121
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You have to move up far back sprinters when comparing route pacelines. example sprint 6th position may move up to a route 2 or 3 position.
Mike.
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One would think this is the case, and it is most of the time. You can't win all races.
For instance, the GATE position at 1 mile to the 1st call :Sprinter vs Router.
You would think the sprinter would at least BREAK fast and ahead of the router most times, and usually can, but most times is BEHIND the router at the 1st call , and sometimes even the break.
I wonder if study on horses BREAK habits is in order.
From what I understand so far, the BREAK is only to see if the Early horse can pass horses to be 1st at the 1st call
AND win the race.
I think thats what the term "
WIRE TO WIRE " means.
From what I understand also, if a Route horse is 2nd at the Break call (23),
he ceases to be Early, unless he shows he can be competitive and / or win from that postion.
A sprinter breaks from a longer chute, while a router with 1mile experience is familiar with breaking on a turn.
I see a good percentage of routers :
1) Out breaking sprinters , before sprinter takes a brief lead
2) Sprinters out breaking router , before router takes lead
You would think in both scenarios, the route horse would be
hurt, but sometimes, the sprinter
does not effect the router, and the router goes on to win the race, or an Other Than Early horse wins ,that you left out because his 1st fraction did'nt meet projection, but you projected the
WRONG 1st call projection of what the sprinter would force the router to run.
If a horse BREAKS position 2nd before 1st call at 21.2 and the best break is
4th at a 22 before hitting the 1st call, isn't there some influence?
Isn't the BREAK half the distance to the 1st call ? Isn't that significant?
Can be very frustrating.
VoodooFan