Quote:
Originally Posted by RichieP
1) Look at who ran against fastest pace of race (1c-2c-sc). Identify the horse first in your mind ok? Then:
2) Was the horse competitive in the fast paced race? If you feel he was then THAT is your fastest sprinter. Keep him and throw ALL other sprinters out of the race. If you feel he was NOT competitive look to the next fastest sprinter and repeat process.
Once we have identified the fastest sprinter (remember now this is a route race with sprinters entered) we will then move to the next step ok?
Richie
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OK Rich I should have listed better when you had said initially that you were taught to consider as to stretch outs: first measuring sprinters against sprinters. This was followed now by “keep the fastest sprinter and throw out the rest.” Now you measure I gather the routers as to their best times at the route distances.
These are the only contenders that I have with a route race to compare:
#1 48.2 - 1.14.1 3 3 3 3
#3 46.2 - 1.13. 4 3 2 2
#7 48.0 - 1.14.3 2 2 2 2
As to these particular routers it would be a win choice on the #3. I believe the #3 horse is in good condition and shows in its third race back, a grass race, that it could run faster against “today’s projected pace of 46 – 1.12.2.” The # 1 and #7 horses show nothing in their pp’s coming close to running well against a projected half of 1.12.2. In fact the #3’s chosen PL is a power-move pace line that is faster by 2 seconds at the first call and at least one second at the half. So now I have to reconsider my 2 win choices, since I still like the #8 horse, and change it from what I first started thinking when I had kept all of the sprinters in the race to now the #8 and the #3 horses for win considerations.
Robert