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Old 10-04-2007, 10:49 PM   #68
RichieP
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,019
Early fighters kill one another

I was out with a young lady most of the evening and got home a while ago and decided to see if anything looked good.

This just ran at Charlestown 10 minutes ago.

Hat helper - "Start your evaluations of races and horses by looking as far LEFT on the pp's as you can. There is MONEY there and most of the competition is blind to it. Use it to HELP you." - The Hat

Ok at first blush the 2 might seem to have the best of the early horses matching with the 3.

I was liking him when i noticed the 3 horse also pure early was a FIGHTER. I paused.

Then I noticed the BREAK positions on the 4 races of the 2 and 3 shown. These suckers WANT the lead and there is a good chance their will be a vicious FIGHT ensuing compromising their chances for the WIN.

I marked up the proj pace to see if anything popped up worth a wager in a race kind of filled with questions. At least for me.

THIS is where RDSS helps me GREATLY man. The COLORS.

I entered lines and noticed IMMEDIATELY the 8 horse had 2 of 3 races with a pace of race FASTER than what was projected at BOTH the 2c and sc. Now I am seriously interested. I am dead serious.

Then I LOOK at his POSITIONS and see he is PERFECT for what I need in THIS race. IF I am right and the 2 and 3 fight and kill each other the 8 is closest to the pace positionally and also FAST. THERE is my horse.

If I am wrong I lose my bet and move on.

2 minutes to post the 8 is 7/2 so I fire a bullet.

Here is where Intuition and remembering that Jim starts his evaluation of every race by looking as far LEFT on the pp line he can really helped me with evaluating the correct race shape - OTHER THAN EARLY

THIS race is a type that a year ago I lose virtually every time. I would go early and get beaten. THIS setup with early fighters who start at the BREAK is something you WILL see on more than one occasion IF you LOOK for it ok?

Screenshots
1) full field of contenders
2) removed earlies leaving true win contenders
3) result
4) my wager
Attached Images
    
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Last edited by RichieP; 10-04-2007 at 11:11 PM.
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