Quote:
Originally Posted by Turbulator
So I take it you just ignored the fact that the 4 had never run on the turf.
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If I may show you something. The 4 has no "common ground" on the grass with any horse as he has never been on it.
He DOES have "common ground" on the dirt having raced at same track(Keeneland) and distance structure(sprint) with the 3 horse(who placed).
Here are the 2 lines shown together to match. WHO is the bet if the race is down to these 2 horses?
This is why we use the ENTIRE past performances for the horses. We use them to HELP us match horses WITHOUT using variants/adjustments.
This is how I was taught by The Hat and I am passing it along.
We NEED an open and relaxed mind to do this.