Quote:
Originally Posted by mufasa
Rich:
I know there is more advanced instructions to come on the Match Up methodology (thank you) but based on what you have said already I though I ask the following question. As to your statement “can NOT get "on top" of fractions he previously could” I am thinking this is more for early type runners (early-E or early pressers-EP). That is a presser-P or sustained presser-PS or even a closer-S would not necessarily be getting on top of a previously fast ˝-mile times that it ran against but instead would have to show (I guess) that it can still run against the faster half mile. Perhaps the Power Move that you have said is coming will clear this up for me or maybe I am just trying to fit this methodology [incorrectly] into my previously learned and practiced way of thinking/handicapping. For example when I incorrectly used the idea of going off form in a previous post as a possibility for a horse not being able to recently ‘get on top of fractions he previously could,” instead of just going with the idea that the horse has gotten slower.
Thanks,
Robert
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Sorry Rich, what was I thinking. I was looking at your examples over at the Handicapping Discussion section, specifically the Evangeline post, and looking again on what you have offered here on this post. I see that I am just confusing myself with the ESP criteria or trying to redefine a perfectly good and straightforward statement. “The Hats” recommendation “can NOT get "on top" of fractions he previously could” does not need redefinition from me. I am for my own education trying to say the same thing in a different way but managed to muddy it all up with the ESP conditions. If an off the pace horse (or any type runner) shows in recent racing that it can not “get on top of fractions he previously could” also means that it could not according to its recent racing show ability to run competitively against the previously established fast pace.
Robert