Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

partsnut · 04-17-2007, 09:51 AM

Bill. as I recall the (1) looks the best but the (6) has a shot so what I would do is probably hedge the lower priced horse as a breakeven bet providing it is under 7-2. The balance would go on the higher priced horse.
If they were both over 7-2 I would bet them both. If they were both under 7-2 I would take a pass on the race.

By the way, I've changed my opinion on 2 horse betting. If done constructively and properly, It can be a good thing. After 8 days of play, 7 of which were at Keenland (which is difficult to say the least) I had one small losing day, which was on Sunday. I lost $29.00.
There was good reason for this - the Poly was moist, the weather was very cold and the wind blew heavily into the stretch. Despite this I had a $26.80 winner on Sunday in the 8th race
This race pulled me out of a very bad day. I did not have this choice in the contest because, I used my hedge horse as the pick.
I am using a program called Hedgehog to evaluate how much should be placed on each contender.
I was 58th going into the challenge on Friday but fell back to 172nd as of today.
My top horse came last Friay and paid $41.40.

04-17-2007, 09:51 AM	#16
partsnut BetMix User Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 2,433	Bill. as I recall the (1) looks the best but the (6) has a shot so what I would do is probably hedge the lower priced horse as a breakeven bet providing it is under 7-2. The balance would go on the higher priced horse. If they were both over 7-2 I would bet them both. If they were both under 7-2 I would take a pass on the race. By the way, I've changed my opinion on 2 horse betting. If done constructively and properly, It can be a good thing. After 8 days of play, 7 of which were at Keenland (which is difficult to say the least) I had one small losing day, which was on Sunday. I lost $29.00. There was good reason for this - the Poly was moist, the weather was very cold and the wind blew heavily into the stretch. Despite this I had a $26.80 winner on Sunday in the 8th race This race pulled me out of a very bad day. I did not have this choice in the contest because, I used my hedge horse as the pick. I am using a program called Hedgehog to evaluate how much should be placed on each contender. I was 58th going into the challenge on Friday but fell back to 172nd as of today. My top horse came last Friay and paid $41.40. Last edited by partsnut; 04-17-2007 at 10:06 AM.