Quote:
Originally Posted by shoeless
Richie,Since it's your race I would like to see you post your thoughts as well.Jeff
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Hi Jeff
1) I ALWAYS scroll the horses and locate the fastest pace from last race. Here that belongs to the 2 and 5.
POSITIONALLY the #2 is much closer and shows in his pp's he can win from the following positions at the FIRST call
2nd
3rd - twice
5th
ok IF this race goes "Other than early" THIS is my horse.
2) Now I look for the early pacesetter.
I see the #1 is early at 1st call and shows on the lead times
21.4 - needs OPEN lead
22.0 - needs OPEN lead
21.4 - needs OPEN lead
in none of those races did he FIGHT and win. He needs an OPEN lead to win.
I scroll and get to the #9 and see he is also early at the first call. I see
21.4 - gets beat but has OPEN lead
22.0 - wins but has OPEN lead
21.1 - abberant race
Now I LOOKED and saw they cancel one another out so now I shift my focus to the winner being "other than early" and from the work I FIRST did when opening the race described above the horse to BET assuming odds are ok is staring me right in the puss.
They don't all work out this way BUT they do enough times to show a REPEATING pattern we can have a bit of confidence in.
I can NOT be afraid to lose a race betting only one horse Jeff. Otherwise NONE of this works. As long as I bet races where the BET is so CLEAR that even when the horse loses I KNOW I made the right bet.
Hope this answered your questions Jeff
Richie