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Howard told me "turf is easy, it is all about lpr and hid"
At a lot of tracks he is correct.
I have seen some tracks at times favor early though, like Saratoga's inner track a few years ago at 8f, while just over on the outer turf course, late was winning.
Records are so important in handicapping.
It seems suspicious that you had to go 6 races for the 3, did he have a good last race? Why did you use a 5f non turf for the 9, if this is a 2 turn race? That seems unreliable. If you have a p5 that has an F1 3.6 fps faster than anyone else in the race and the rest all have S1 or P1 racing styles, it should wire it. But the 5f makes it suspicious, can it hold?
The obvious horses for LPR and HID using Howard's idea would be the 4,7 and 3. You don't show the BL/BL screen but looking at the velocities, these seem like the LPR/HID horses. 2 of them had good F2 fractions and they all have decent F3 fractions.
What were the results?
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