This is the LP screen after demoting horses with no Rx3 pts and after screening the remaining field by sort the Segments screen by running style. There were only P and S horses in this race. the worst P was the 8 and the worst S was the 4, so we are down to 6 horses.
Recall that I am using best of last three lines in this analysis, but as in any race scenario you should look at the lines and make a judgment on the robo line chosen. So I am going to look at the 2-3-6-9 and see if the lines reasonably reflect what the horses could expected to do today.
First up is the 2. The line chosen is the 1, its best SR so far whereas as a 2yo its best was a 71. On the plus side the trainer thought he might have a good horse and entered in 3 stakes races after a first out win.
I think if the horse is good it is reasonable to expect better races once the horse matures from 2 to 3. I would probably leave line selection for this horse as is.
The 3 was not raced at 2 and broke its maiden in its 6th start, 226 days ago with an 85 SR rating. All its previous races had a best of 72. Do we really think that a come backer could match its best ever SR by 13 in its first time out this year?
Doubtful or iffy. Using the SR 72 would not make this a contender.
The 6 has one race this year and ran to its other sprint SRs but its one route was an 82 vs its previous 77 and it is not unusual to see outings after the first after layoff to improve, so I would accept the 82 SR as doable. It also has a workout rating of 99% AFTER its last race. Keep this one.
The 9 is a one time winner from 17 starts; its line tied for its best ever on poly and its workouts are average at best in preparation after a 174 day layoff.
If you demote either the 3 or 9 you get good payoffs. I will show the Segments screens from which I made preliminary demotions in the next post.