Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

Mitch44 · 10-08-2022, 10:03 AM

Predominately the higher % W/O are the best overall or the majority of the time. The 7 horse that anchored a big DD only had a 76, # 2 85 & # 5 83. None of which appear high for a G 2 race. I did analyze all 3 of these and came to the conclusion they were all top contenders. For the #2 it was a top and for the 7 a top.

These numbers are best put into perspective for that horse. How does a horse respond to a top? If we don't have that answer, we ride it along. If it fails it'll most likely will respond to slower W/O. Horses for some reason all of a sudden get good. Whatever brothers them heals or the trainer figures them out.

Some are slow to get it right, the best trainers figure it out quick. This 7 was an interesting horse. Five of its 10 races were at shorter distances of 5.5 F, not good for a horse that has an ESP of SP & S. They need longer distances to catch the speed and the race to collapse. Also, it had several races on the Turf and sly tracks. This horse was very decent at 6F and on dirt. Its last race had its best Tot. Energy and TPR and a good W/0 since was a positive sign. Recall I said beware of a horse that runs a new top in TPR or Tot. Energy, they're in their best form. Sure, they could bounce or if properly placed continue to excel. I always go with momentum or positive.

This 7 was also the counter energy horse and figured to pick up the pieces in the Match Up. I had him in the place slot for that reason in an EX. Its 4th place finish fooled the public, finish positions are overrated as compared to Tot. Energy and TPR. The general public just can't get past the last line and finish positions.

Until you become good at analyzing form your better off taking an hour to do a race and tear it apart, then to mass produce crap. Of course, once good at this, stuff jumps up at you or looms up. It becomes a synaptic response from repetition. Their either improving with every race and workout or going in the opposite direction, even the best.

Thoroughbred trainer Catalano, knew what he had.

Trainer Catalano after race comment: "The horse is doing great. His last race showed that he was coming back to form," he said. "He got a big Beyer number, he was very happy, training great, so I was happy with him today."

Mitch44

10-08-2022, 10:03 AM	#96
Mitch44 Grade 1 Join Date: Nov 2014 Location: The Villages, Fl. Posts: 3,872	Predominately the higher % W/O are the best overall or the majority of the time. The 7 horse that anchored a big DD only had a 76, # 2 85 & # 5 83. None of which appear high for a G 2 race. I did analyze all 3 of these and came to the conclusion they were all top contenders. For the #2 it was a top and for the 7 a top. These numbers are best put into perspective for that horse. How does a horse respond to a top? If we don't have that answer, we ride it along. If it fails it'll most likely will respond to slower W/O. Horses for some reason all of a sudden get good. Whatever brothers them heals or the trainer figures them out. Some are slow to get it right, the best trainers figure it out quick. This 7 was an interesting horse. Five of its 10 races were at shorter distances of 5.5 F, not good for a horse that has an ESP of SP & S. They need longer distances to catch the speed and the race to collapse. Also, it had several races on the Turf and sly tracks. This horse was very decent at 6F and on dirt. Its last race had its best Tot. Energy and TPR and a good W/0 since was a positive sign. Recall I said beware of a horse that runs a new top in TPR or Tot. Energy, they're in their best form. Sure, they could bounce or if properly placed continue to excel. I always go with momentum or positive. This 7 was also the counter energy horse and figured to pick up the pieces in the Match Up. I had him in the place slot for that reason in an EX. Its 4th place finish fooled the public, finish positions are overrated as compared to Tot. Energy and TPR. The general public just can't get past the last line and finish positions. Until you become good at analyzing form your better off taking an hour to do a race and tear it apart, then to mass produce crap. Of course, once good at this, stuff jumps up at you or looms up. It becomes a synaptic response from repetition. Their either improving with every race and workout or going in the opposite direction, even the best. Thoroughbred trainer Catalano, knew what he had. Trainer Catalano after race comment: "The horse is doing great. His last race showed that he was coming back to form," he said. "He got a big Beyer number, he was very happy, training great, so I was happy with him today." Mitch44 Last edited by Mitch44; 10-08-2022 at 10:08 AM.