Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

Mitch44 · 09-11-2022, 09:28 AM

The % is the most important.

On the 6 horse Dolly May the key workout was the 76 earned on 23 July That occurred since its last race. Note also this horse and trainer normally don't work this particular horse fast so for that horse it's an excellent work. Under the SR their all pretty much consistent and a rating of 80 or so is easily attainable. The WR here is insignificant because it does not rate every workout, not a very good tool. Keep in mind, what is a good work for that horse and trainer and where does it occur. This is a perfect example where % shines and outperforms SR & WR. Don't forget context or is the horse properly placed. Dis. & Surface are fine, plus this one is dropping class, tipped off also by APV. Has only had 1 race at today's class.

#5 Unfaithful Ways. Shows all very slow works but finish positions demonstrate this horse responds to this slow type of training. The trainer may believe in not leaving a horse's race on the training track and saves the horse for the afternoon. Unlike a Bob Baffert who works all horses fast. Also, some trainers hide a workout within a workout. By going very fast early or late and very slow the rest of the workout. Last race distance may have been too far, but today's surface and dis. are OK. Note: again, this horse responds to slow works and has finished in the money in 6 of 8 races with 2 wins.

Both these horses appear to be properly places when you look at their CSR, CR, BPP.
These % rating should be put in context, which I stated early on in the discussion. A valid question always is, what is a good work for that horse and where did it occur. The most important workouts are since last race. However, if a horse finishes in the money after a good workout prior to last race, then the trainer may only give a slow workout as it is in form. Or no workouts, when no workouts since last race it hasn't been staying in the barn. Just doing slow jogs and gallops which contribute and enhances its form.

Remember a good % workout for that horse and using a good Factor that's multi-faceted makes it a solid contender. The public frequently makes mistakes on odds with horses and create overlays or value every day, especially if a poor race in last or out of the money.

Mitch44

09-11-2022, 09:28 AM	#56
Mitch44 Grade 1 Join Date: Nov 2014 Location: The Villages, Fl. Posts: 3,872	The % is the most important. On the 6 horse Dolly May the key workout was the 76 earned on 23 July That occurred since its last race. Note also this horse and trainer normally don't work this particular horse fast so for that horse it's an excellent work. Under the SR their all pretty much consistent and a rating of 80 or so is easily attainable. The WR here is insignificant because it does not rate every workout, not a very good tool. Keep in mind, what is a good work for that horse and trainer and where does it occur. This is a perfect example where % shines and outperforms SR & WR. Don't forget context or is the horse properly placed. Dis. & Surface are fine, plus this one is dropping class, tipped off also by APV. Has only had 1 race at today's class. #5 Unfaithful Ways. Shows all very slow works but finish positions demonstrate this horse responds to this slow type of training. The trainer may believe in not leaving a horse's race on the training track and saves the horse for the afternoon. Unlike a Bob Baffert who works all horses fast. Also, some trainers hide a workout within a workout. By going very fast early or late and very slow the rest of the workout. Last race distance may have been too far, but today's surface and dis. are OK. Note: again, this horse responds to slow works and has finished in the money in 6 of 8 races with 2 wins. Both these horses appear to be properly places when you look at their CSR, CR, BPP. These % rating should be put in context, which I stated early on in the discussion. A valid question always is, what is a good work for that horse and where did it occur. The most important workouts are since last race. However, if a horse finishes in the money after a good workout prior to last race, then the trainer may only give a slow workout as it is in form. Or no workouts, when no workouts since last race it hasn't been staying in the barn. Just doing slow jogs and gallops which contribute and enhances its form. Remember a good % workout for that horse and using a good Factor that's multi-faceted makes it a solid contender. The public frequently makes mistakes on odds with horses and create overlays or value every day, especially if a poor race in last or out of the money. Mitch44 Last edited by Mitch44; 09-11-2022 at 09:42 AM.