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Early/Late Difference Graph
Mitch
Thanks for your comments.
Lueylump made specific comments that said throw out and don't consider any habitual quitters but he added that maiden's quit all the time so you should be more leninet with them. With winners, it's easier to see if they qhuit when headed or not. With quitters, using this angle, I would throw them out.
Your comment about energy brings up a question for me. You have a lot more experience than me. In general do you have any kind of guide or rule regarding how you throw out low energy horses, except in this big E/L Difference situation. Just in general. Do you throw out horses that do not have, for example, the top 5 energy ratings or the top 5 TPR ratings? How do you handle that to get your contenders down to a reasonable number?.
I'm trying to figure out my strategy for handicapping races. I lean toward's Kahunab's approach of letting the computer pick the best of the last 3 at the same distance, surface etcd. That cuts down on my human error. Then, I use a combination of the PMTR scrreen and the Segment screen and the velocity screen, F1, F2, F3 for the Match UP part to narrow it down. I like Kahunab's idea of looking out for too much early speed in the race, 3 or more horses wth E ratings totaling 21 or more Quirin speed points, and turning to OTE type horses when that happens. Unless there is a specific angle that is in play, I also look at and use Rmath's top 5 CSR, VDC, PL, and BPP and I also throw in and consider BL/BL rankings . l'm still in the process of developing this strategy and would appreciate any advice you could give. I want to get more consistent with my process giiven that each race is different.
Right now I'm not looking at MNR, TDN, FL and those type smaller tracks. I've been concentrating on GP (my home track, I live in Naples, FL), CHD, KEE, FG, OP and AP. I'vebe been avoiding the NYRA and the SOCAL tracks because I think the betters are more sophisticated and less likely to let legitimate longshots escape them. o , gm ,
1 retired
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