|
Every horse has a best distance. Just because a horse finishes in the money does not mean that's its best distance. Even trainers are fooled by this and don't adjust. Part of this has to do with the deceleration factor and Match Up.
Speed Ratings are greatly effected by distance also. However no one has more effect on the game than the Racing Secretary. By not carding certain distances for a period of time he forces trainers with sharp horses to run at inappropriate distances. Ditto for surface and class of races. Inept trainers also darken their form by wrongful placing of their horses.
Not an easy game to master but like any field of endeavor some do and most are regulated to the minors. Water seeks its own level and no black box approach will outperform detailed analysis and study. No matter how good someone is, you must always strive for improvement or get trampled.
Mitch44
|