Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

Lt1 · 08-18-2021, 08:43 AM

Well done Bill and thanks for sharing. You point out a very important fact about Profit Line ranks. According to Twin Spires when there are ties in PL odds the tie is broken by post position. Let's say the #3 and #5 both have PL odds of 15-1. By default the 3 would rank ahead of the 5 although closer examination may show the 5 is the stronger of the 2. Another thing to check is BPP ranks. You will find that sometimes a horse that has NEVER been on todays' surface will rank higher then those that have. You may want to[and I do] downgrade this horse when you make your final selections. Bottom line DON'T blindly accept any rankings. Do your due diligence.
Tim

08-18-2021, 08:43 AM	#7
Lt1 Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Valley Stream NY Posts: 11,475	Well done Bill and thanks for sharing. You point out a very important fact about Profit Line ranks. According to Twin Spires when there are ties in PL odds the tie is broken by post position. Let's say the #3 and #5 both have PL odds of 15-1. By default the 3 would rank ahead of the 5 although closer examination may show the 5 is the stronger of the 2. Another thing to check is BPP ranks. You will find that sometimes a horse that has NEVER been on todays' surface will rank higher then those that have. You may want to[and I do] downgrade this horse when you make your final selections. Bottom line DON'T blindly accept any rankings. Do your due diligence. Tim __________________ Trust but verify