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Converting Tim's results to EV (expected value), where breakeven is an EV =1:
#1: EV = 0.694
#2: EV = 0.906
#3: EV = 1.038
#4: EV = 1.27
Conclusion: based on this TINY sample size and just betting to win, #3s returned 3.8% and #4s returned 27%. No reason to bet #1s as they are pounded by rebate players. Also illustrates why Sartin pushed users away from betting a program's top 2 choices...Nice work, Tim.
Richard
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