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Old 02-19-2019, 08:31 AM   #58
Mitch44
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,841
Pace Makes the Race is a good book and an excellent starting point Rob. That's how it all started. Its advance concepts section or chapter is excellent. From there they evolved to FPS and the use of 3 Fr's which brought new factors and concepts. It will give you a full understanding of CPR within RDSS today, it had been tweaked and is a much better product than the old Phase 1 or what's within PMTR.

They struggled for years testing and attempting to come up with better adjustments. Finally they succeeded and its within the president day RDSS.

Your in the right ballpark.Be careful with assumptions in that just because a horse runs a 95 early that he'll slow down late. NOT SO! There are at least seven different running pattern for horses. Horses don't decelerate at the same rate or pattern. The classier the horse the longer it can hold that speed. A Gr.1 horse can run a 95 EPR and run a 95 or 100 LPR. Now a cheap claiming horse can be accepted to slow down after a 95 EPR. Even within he same class horses don't decelerate at the same rate. Some decelerate slowly and some rapidly.

As a stat geek your going to find the biggest smorgasbord ever encountered with the combination of Sartin and horseracing. Possibilities are endless, numerous combinations and only limited by one's own limitations. Most just won't do the work, don't work smartly or spend too much time on wasteful collection of data.

Rob I believe you'll do well.


Mitch44

Last edited by Mitch44; 02-19-2019 at 08:36 AM.
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