[Lt1]

Hi John. I don't have a line drawn in the sand when it comes to looking at lay off horses. In general I have found that the majority of the lay off horses that survive my analysis have last raced within 180 days of todays race. As usual there are always some exceptions [usually very high class animals]. As far as what line I use it depends on the horse I'm dealing with. The better the horse the more flexible I am. This is especially true with turf horses that take the winter off and don't return until the Spring. As far as a success rate goes most of these types generally win around 10% but can and do complete some very nice ex and tri pay offs. Just keep in I'm only talking about a relatively small amount of lay off horses. Most lay off horses don't survive my initial analysis. The point I was making is I don't toss any horse without giving it at least a cursory look especially if playing exotic wagers.
Tim