Good morning Bill,
As you know, the automatic BLT/C (Best Perceptor, Last 3 Comparable) built into RDSS has a rules set programmed into it by Ted. As defined from the original RDSS 2 Beta release notes (circa 2011):
Quote:
PSS: Best Perceptor, Last 3 Comparable. This will be the default for many people. It excludes non-rateable races, excludes all but the last 3 races, excludes races not matching today’s surface or distance structure, sorts by best Perceptor Total, then selects the highest ranked line by Perceptor. If this would result in no line chosen, exclusion parameters are relaxed a step at a time until a line is chosen, in the following order:
- same distance structure, same surface (we try this first)
- same distance structure, different surface
- different distance structure, same surface
- different distance structure, different surface (every line in last 3 is non-comparable)
Lines older than 270 days are not considered unless all lines are older than 270 days.
Note: in this PSS, dirt (including AQU inner dirt) is a different surface to Poly, which is a different surface to Turf (including inner turf courses). You’ll have to make manual decisions if you consider Turf = Poly or Dirt = Poly in given situations.
|
Doc Sartin’s initial guideline for this was simply the best Adjusted Speed Rating (originally the DRF SR+TV used before Trackmaster downloads) of the last three races at a similar surface and distance. In going over teaching races with Mitch44, he has advocated the use of more modern tools such as PoH Total Energy, PoR Total Energy, TPR and Perceptor to make a determination of “best”. While he does not recommend going past Line 5 (for less seasoned users), he doesn’t care if the BLT/C takes him personally to Timbuktu (Line 10). If that is the best comparable line of 3 comparable lines, he will consider it. He ignores off tracks in any situation, and does not adhere to a strict days off guideline. He will extract more often than project when the need arises. There are sprint races where he will use a recent extracted route in lieu of using a sprint line because that line was fast. As an adjunct, Mitch will evaluate trainer moves/angles using Brisnet PPs.
My selection of Line 3 was based on my lessons with Mitch last year. It was the best Perceptor Rating and Total Energy output of the last 3 similar races. I also know that you have/or do use Validator mode in RDSS, which may have altered the horse’s perceptor?
I’m not disagreeing with your analysis, Bill. However, with what we know about this horse, and the claim/new trainer, I think we both can agree that this is enough to deem this one an unknown factor. If this one wins at a short price, so be it. There are other horses entered in this race whom we can consider and have more clarity as to form and energy factors. In other words, no other unknowns.
Hope you have a good day physically. Get well!
~Jeebs