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Old 02-07-2018, 02:20 AM   #2
Jeebs
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 909
FTL Guideline output

Here is the original screen using lines based on FTL's guidelines:
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#'s 1, 6 and 8 have been running against higher class runners, and may have a class edge. #5 is a NTL early and looks like the main threat up front.

Velocity PoH Screen:
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The classier #6 throws down a strong F1 than the NTL Early #5, which could present pace pressure issues for that runner. It will need to throw down a strong TT to keep pace. #8 comes on the strongest of the bunch in F2. The #1 is even paced and owns F3 and Total Speed.

TPR Screen:
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#'s 5 and 8 have a distinct EPR edge over the rest of the field, while #1's LPR stands out as much the best. #'s 1 and 5's TPRs match very closely.

Segments Screen:
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Basically a rehash of the PoH screen, only visual. Based on CBL, #'s 5 and 8 are locking horns on the turn, fighting for supremacy, while #1 is creeping up. FWIW, CBL at the finish projects 1-5-8.

Bottom Line/Betting Line Screen:
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Preliminary take is that #1 could be worth a tumble in a two-horse bet if it takes about the same amount of action on the tote as its ML suggests. However, the 2nd and 3rd ML favorites are Tier 1 and Tier 3, so getting 4-1 or better could be challenging. Couple that with the fact that #2 is a virtual unknown factor off the claim and is the ML favorite, this race could be more contentious than what the FTL guideline pacelines suggest.
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