Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

Bill V. · 11-18-2017, 01:38 PM

Hello Mitch

In the follow up study That 95% total energy percentage in 1000 races
is after eliminating to the top 5 Primary line score .
So another way Doc could have written that was, in 1000 races
where we eliminated/hid to contenders to only the top 5 primary line score
and top 5 total energy horses, we only missed the winner 5%
I would guess these 1000 races were only handicapped by Doc, clients or staff who only used the best of the last 3 comparable -speed ratings
No races were used with more than 1 first time starter or horses with no North America pace lines.

I will look up in my stats the percentage of total energy top 4 winners
but my stats are based on every horse, - no eliminations -no hides

Good Skill
Bill

11-18-2017, 01:38 PM	#7
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	Mitch Hello Mitch In the follow up study That 95% total energy percentage in 1000 races is after eliminating to the top 5 Primary line score . So another way Doc could have written that was, in 1000 races where we eliminated/hid to contenders to only the top 5 primary line score and top 5 total energy horses, we only missed the winner 5% I would guess these 1000 races were only handicapped by Doc, clients or staff who only used the best of the last 3 comparable -speed ratings No races were used with more than 1 first time starter or horses with no North America pace lines. I will look up in my stats the percentage of total energy top 4 winners but my stats are based on every horse, - no eliminations -no hides Good Skill Bill