Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill V.
Congratulations to those who say they win with longer than 90 day layoff horses, They win but very infrequently
Here is a workup of what is going on today
Not from ones recall of past sucsess These are recent results from races
I as a average user of the methodology actually handicapped
these are facts from my most recent 206 race
In the screen shot I have recorded every horsewho in those 206 races
ran coming off a layoff longer than 90 days.
There were a total of 1672 horses in those 206 races
of those 1672 horses only 79 ran after a layoff over 90 days
Of those 79 horses only 4 won the race
Here are the results of those horses who have run after a layoff of over 90 days
They sure did not get life changing win prices .
Here is the complete list of those 79 runners
in a spreadheet
Attachment 44968
Attachment 44969 |
Bill, this is a great study that you made, and reaffirms my own information. Having said that, about 10 years ago, I bet a 7 year old mare coming back from a 3-1/2 year layoff in a maiden race at Penn National. Her name was Lily "something" and she won paying either 7.20 or 7.60. That was the longest I'd seen at that point. and betting her had more to do with how her connections were giving away their intention vs. the morning line. And for the record I don't win playing 90+ day layoffs.