[For The Lead]

Here is my look at the horse and race being discussed using ENERGY.

There are no horses with a ML of 20/1 or higher and there are no horses that haven’t raced in the last 90 days, so there are no eliminations there.

Except horse #1, who gets no line, all other horses do get a line.
Horses 4,5,6 and 7 all raced on either a sloppy or good track in their last race, therefore, the original guidelines indicate going back one line. I did.
All of these horses had a qualifying line in line 2, so that is the line chosen for them.
Horses 2 and 3 had a qualifying race on their last line, so that is the line used for those two horses.


I understand that when total energy shows a discrepancy of more than 2 points the #2 adjust should be used. I didn’t use it. All other horses are within 2 points of each other.
Actually, the #4 horse, with the very high total energy, disrupts the readouts as you will see.

The variegate indicates “EARLY” and every early factor points towards the winner, #3.

ENERGY does not look for the fastest final time horse, so speed ratings and total energy were not the determining factors for the program.
Instead, ENERGY looked at the match-ups of the contenders and determined which horse(s) were the most likely winners on that basis.

I always credited ENERGY as “Doc’s” best attempt at a program that actually “handicaps” a race.
Of course, all of his original guidelines were in effect at that time and they are still good more than 30 years later!!

Here are the readouts.