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Old 09-23-2017, 01:25 PM   #6
rdiam
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 607
I'll take a stab, in reverse order:

9 -- Term of Art: Blinkers On, Rising from a G3 Stakes, first race after 70 day layoff, jockey switch, BUT: has not improved as a 3 year old

3 -- Watch Me Whip: Rising from a G3 Stakes, lightly raced and improving, first after 70 day layoff, BUT: figures to regress after last race

10 -- Giussepe the Great: shortens up, jockey switch, BUT: June 10 race seems to have taken a lot out of him

6 -- Talk Logistics: rising from G3 stakes, second race after layoff, BUT: June 19 race seems to have taken a lot out of him, needs to be in early presser position to win, may have a problem

7 -- Game Over: rising from G3 stakes, lightly raced and improving, first after 49 day layoff, jockey switch: Needs to improve further and probably will regress, but worth a small win bet at 15-1

2 -- Outplay: Big Win in last race, first race after 57 day layoff, BUT: may regress, needs the lead to win, will struggle to get lead here

1 -- Timeline: first after 55 day layoff, can win if runs back to June 18 race, worth a win bet at 5-1

5 -- Irap: shortens up, 4th race after layoff, BUT: no value at 3-1 ML

8 -- Irish War Cry: first after 55 day layoff, Positive Jockey Switch to Lynch, can win this if runs back to June 10 race, worth a bet at 9/2

4 -- West Coast: shortens up, continues to improve, wins if runs back to Jun 10 race, BUT no value at 8/5 ML, use in exacta

Bets: win bets 8,1, small win bet 7, exacta box 4,8,1
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