DMR has the longest run-up of any mile dirt track in the US, that I know of, 180ft. 20 -30 years ago I didn't know this and would have very poor luck at Hol and SA because the DMR lines would have such fast early fractions. It was unusual to see modest claimers go 22+ - 44+ - 109 and change. I looked at the chart on the #6's race 291 days ago and it confirmed that even with the surface change in recent years, the Run-up was listed at 200ft. There are 3 horses in here that do not win without the lead at the 1st call. Of his two wins showing the #2 has one in which he pressed the pace from 3rd back 1.1 length.
So essentially you have 4 Early running horses out of 7 starters. None of these runners quit when headed and continue to run on. You can't discard them necessarily from exotics play. The best of these apparently is the #7 horse. If you notice his line 3 back at DMR 8f, you have his fastest 1st fraction at 22.6. That is 2/5ths of a second faster than any other mile race at other tracks. That is the advantage of the Run-up at DMR 8f. I didn't use that line because it sent him to the sidelines but this horse has a 1/5th second advantage over all other E types. Given his 4 works since last race, the first of which was only 13 days following that race and a 58.6 5f work 18 days ago, I'd say this horse will be hard to beat. As Jim Bradshaw said in one of the audio tapes, "you know some of these trainers would like to sell these horses". With win purse and claiming tag, they will take more than $50,000 out of the race. However, a 7 year old with only 21 lifetime starts and two layoffs of over 270 days in his last 10 races, you have to wonder. Would someone plunk down $32,000 for this horse?
The only horse that appears that he may be able to outrun the #7 is the #6 who has twice run within two lengths of a 22 and held position to a 44.6 and 44.7 2nd call in those sprints and he breaks inside the #7. I think that is enough and will variegate the race OTE.
The #5 just doesn't look fast enough at a mile to remain in contention. So, my final contenders are the #1 and #4. In matching these two horses, I will look at all of their races:
I'm going to go with the #4 as he appears faster to me and the #1 has the disadvantage of the rail and may have to use more energy early to keep from getting shuffled back or just drop to the rear of the pack. The #4 should have clear sailing when they turn for home from the 4 post.