Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post - PRX 7th

Jeebs · 04-11-2017, 01:50 PM

#1 - Line 2/Sustained Presser. I excused Line 1 due to the intense class demands (TE PoR) it faced last time out. Line 2 is a + win at the $7.5k n2L level. This stands to reason that the $12.5k will be an easier spotting.

#2 - Line 2/Sustained. Line 1 was a 0 race vs. a tougher TE PoR ($20k n3L). I found no reason not to use its + race from the 2nd line in today's class.

#3 - Line 6/Early. Even though Line 1 is a + win line in the $7.5k n2L condition, it had a weak perceptor rank. I used the + line to open the window to choose the top perceptor ranked Line 6. Why is this important? Because this is an early runner who shows an ability to pass horses or sit off the pace. 1st off the claim this afternoon.

#4 - Line 8/Early Presser. Horse has a variety of +/(+) outings going long. I excused its last comparable line (Line 4) due to the extreme TE PoR. I admittedly hate going down towards the bottom of the PPs to find a usable line, but its run style and energy distribution would seem to indicate that this particular line best reflects its ability.

#5 - Line 5/Sustained Presser. Line 5 is its most recent comparable line. While its perceptor is slightly worse than Line 7, it has a higher TPR and the horse was up close.

#6 - No Line/Questionable sprint back form. Its sprint races are practically all(+) pop and stop affairs. Tough read for me off a November layoff. I would let this one beat me.

#7 - Line 1/Early. Without question, this is the best line to use. Encouraging is the quick turnaround and rise to $12.5k off the claim.

#8 - Line 1/Sustained. Appears to be a Non-contender here. Poor sprint record.

#9 - Line 3/Early. A pair of (+) races followed by the near miss. Feast or famine E type.

04-11-2017, 01:50 PM	#8
Jeebs Grade 1 Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 909	Pacelines #1 - Line 2/Sustained Presser. I excused Line 1 due to the intense class demands (TE PoR) it faced last time out. Line 2 is a + win at the $7.5k n2L level. This stands to reason that the $12.5k will be an easier spotting. #2 - Line 2/Sustained. Line 1 was a 0 race vs. a tougher TE PoR ($20k n3L). I found no reason not to use its + race from the 2nd line in today's class. #3 - Line 6/Early. Even though Line 1 is a + win line in the $7.5k n2L condition, it had a weak perceptor rank. I used the + line to open the window to choose the top perceptor ranked Line 6. Why is this important? Because this is an early runner who shows an ability to pass horses or sit off the pace. 1st off the claim this afternoon. #4 - Line 8/Early Presser. Horse has a variety of +/(+) outings going long. I excused its last comparable line (Line 4) due to the extreme TE PoR. I admittedly hate going down towards the bottom of the PPs to find a usable line, but its run style and energy distribution would seem to indicate that this particular line best reflects its ability. #5 - Line 5/Sustained Presser. Line 5 is its most recent comparable line. While its perceptor is slightly worse than Line 7, it has a higher TPR and the horse was up close. #6 - No Line/Questionable sprint back form. Its sprint races are practically all(+) pop and stop affairs. Tough read for me off a November layoff. I would let this one beat me. #7 - Line 1/Early. Without question, this is the best line to use. Encouraging is the quick turnaround and rise to $12.5k off the claim. #8 - Line 1/Sustained. Appears to be a Non-contender here. Poor sprint record. #9 - Line 3/Early. A pair of (+) races followed by the near miss. Feast or famine E type.