Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post - Reflecting on my month with the Methodology

Mitch44 · 03-27-2017, 05:19 PM

Jeebs: I suppose you can say its growing pains.Glad to see you can give yourself an honest appraisal.That's important because bad habits can quickly become difficult to overcome, once they become ingrained.

Your absolutely correct about using automatic picked pace lines. While I use the best of last 3 at a similar distance & surface I review every horses record to see if I concur with the line it chooses. I suggest everyone do that because on auto pick it'll count to 3 back and if one of those races isn't on a similar surface or distance the correct line may be L 4 or L 5 . I've seen L 8 & L 10 be the correct line however not that often but this does occur. When it does I have no aversion to using it.

I notice you do poorly during your lunch break and the reason is your rushing due to time restraints. I would forget that. Also stick to one track because you don't do well playing multiple track. Additionally by playing multiple track your giving up some good plays such as rolling doubles.

These ugly races you play are getable however not as form full as better races such as ones with higher purses. I play them all but reduce my wagers with iffy races or ugly type races. Remember to cap them the same way as other races. Consistent procedures.

Try a track with some rolling DD and also play some better races later in the card. Granted odds may work for you just as well as against you. Just bet according to the M/L and to your selections. Worth a try. As far as ugly races many of the same decisions occur as in the good races. I.e. layoffs, stretch outs and cutback etc. etc. etc.

Myself I play many different tracks, therefore I don't keep track profiles and through records I know what works so I also don't keep models. However if I only played one track I would keep a profile. I'm a firm believer in what the Doc" & the "Hat" believed in with, 80% has to due with the make up of the field etc.,not the track etc. But for someone starting off like you I would recommend only 1 track and keep a profile and model.

Lastly don't let one cycle get you down. If you manage your money properly you'll still have a bankroll for the next cycle. Don't chase and reduce bets when not in a good cycle.
Mitch44

03-27-2017, 05:19 PM	#9
Mitch44 Grade 1 Join Date: Nov 2014 Location: The Villages, Fl. Posts: 3,872	Jeebs: I suppose you can say its growing pains.Glad to see you can give yourself an honest appraisal.That's important because bad habits can quickly become difficult to overcome, once they become ingrained. Your absolutely correct about using automatic picked pace lines. While I use the best of last 3 at a similar distance & surface I review every horses record to see if I concur with the line it chooses. I suggest everyone do that because on auto pick it'll count to 3 back and if one of those races isn't on a similar surface or distance the correct line may be L 4 or L 5 . I've seen L 8 & L 10 be the correct line however not that often but this does occur. When it does I have no aversion to using it. I notice you do poorly during your lunch break and the reason is your rushing due to time restraints. I would forget that. Also stick to one track because you don't do well playing multiple track. Additionally by playing multiple track your giving up some good plays such as rolling doubles. These ugly races you play are getable however not as form full as better races such as ones with higher purses. I play them all but reduce my wagers with iffy races or ugly type races. Remember to cap them the same way as other races. Consistent procedures. Try a track with some rolling DD and also play some better races later in the card. Granted odds may work for you just as well as against you. Just bet according to the M/L and to your selections. Worth a try. As far as ugly races many of the same decisions occur as in the good races. I.e. layoffs, stretch outs and cutback etc. etc. etc. Myself I play many different tracks, therefore I don't keep track profiles and through records I know what works so I also don't keep models. However if I only played one track I would keep a profile. I'm a firm believer in what the Doc" & the "Hat" believed in with, 80% has to due with the make up of the field etc.,not the track etc. But for someone starting off like you I would recommend only 1 track and keep a profile and model. Lastly don't let one cycle get you down. If you manage your money properly you'll still have a bankroll for the next cycle. Don't chase and reduce bets when not in a good cycle. Mitch44 Last edited by Mitch44; 03-27-2017 at 05:31 PM.