Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post - Two Races A Day, Keeps the Profits Coming this way

Latekick · 08-19-2016, 10:15 AM

Friday August 19th

Had a great dinner with some pretty timeless guys last night. Listening to stories of Point Given, and one of the guys being face to face with Pharoah right before he won the Belmont, was pretty cool.

The two races today will be Saratoga 5th, and Saratoga 6th.

Saratoga 5th:
My first selection is going to be the horse right on top, #4 TRANSPARENT.
A very interesting horse who his first start in just under two months. If he can run back to some of his races when he was firing on all cylinders, he will be very dangerous here. There are a few question marks with this horse but to me it just looks like he may be able to beat up on this field. 7/2 ML.

My next choice is #1 DOYOUKNOWSIMETHING. This is a very straightforward race in my opinion. With the correct line selection and contender selection, the best horses should show up near the top on readouts, and i believe that this race is straightforward enough to use the top two horses with acceptable odds. My handicapping process is done through contender selection, and line selection. After that it is just a few specific things to look for on the readouts and make final selections from there. This race is clear to me. The #1 made a nice run off of a shorter layoff last out. I think he will improve again this tine out and if he runs back to his three back race he is going to be tough.

Contenders: 1-2-4
Top Two: 1-4

Saratoga 6th:
Here is a race where i think there could be some value.
My first choice is going to be #9 FIRE STARTER. I toss his race last time out on the dirt and use the line two back. That line puts him right on top. I am not concerned with the class drop. He uses his energy late, and is well ranked in both LP, TT, and HID. All good signs of a horse who will be able to dominate the field late in the race. 6/1 ML.

My next choice is #11 ELROI.
He is a horse who launches his rally from very far back, i use him here because its tough for me to make a case for using anyone else using their energy late. The #7 had a clear lead twice and gave in, ranked awful in HID for a late energy horse. The #3 always hangs in the stretch. Awfully ranked in LPR and HID. This race looks like it may just be a bunch of horses staggering own the lane and if that is the case, ELROI is my choice at 12/1 ML.

Contenders: 9-11
Top Two: 9-11

08-19-2016, 10:15 AM	#46
Latekick Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2013 Posts: 389	Friday August 19th Had a great dinner with some pretty timeless guys last night. Listening to stories of Point Given, and one of the guys being face to face with Pharoah right before he won the Belmont, was pretty cool. The two races today will be Saratoga 5th, and Saratoga 6th. Saratoga 5th: My first selection is going to be the horse right on top, #4 TRANSPARENT. A very interesting horse who his first start in just under two months. If he can run back to some of his races when he was firing on all cylinders, he will be very dangerous here. There are a few question marks with this horse but to me it just looks like he may be able to beat up on this field. 7/2 ML. My next choice is #1 DOYOUKNOWSIMETHING. This is a very straightforward race in my opinion. With the correct line selection and contender selection, the best horses should show up near the top on readouts, and i believe that this race is straightforward enough to use the top two horses with acceptable odds. My handicapping process is done through contender selection, and line selection. After that it is just a few specific things to look for on the readouts and make final selections from there. This race is clear to me. The #1 made a nice run off of a shorter layoff last out. I think he will improve again this tine out and if he runs back to his three back race he is going to be tough. Contenders: 1-2-4 Top Two: 1-4 Saratoga 6th: Here is a race where i think there could be some value. My first choice is going to be #9 FIRE STARTER. I toss his race last time out on the dirt and use the line two back. That line puts him right on top. I am not concerned with the class drop. He uses his energy late, and is well ranked in both LP, TT, and HID. All good signs of a horse who will be able to dominate the field late in the race. 6/1 ML. My next choice is #11 ELROI. He is a horse who launches his rally from very far back, i use him here because its tough for me to make a case for using anyone else using their energy late. The #7 had a clear lead twice and gave in, ranked awful in HID for a late energy horse. The #3 always hangs in the stretch. Awfully ranked in LPR and HID. This race looks like it may just be a bunch of horses staggering own the lane and if that is the case, ELROI is my choice at 12/1 ML. Contenders: 9-11 Top Two: 9-11 Attached Images