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Old 08-18-2016, 11:00 PM   #44
Latekick
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Jun 2013
Posts: 389
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lt1 View Post
Hey Grant in race 2 the odds on all your horses were so good[16-1,17-1,37-1] that a 3 horse dutch bet might have been made. Fortunately I had my model to help with the betting decision. The 5 had a %med to high for win at 7f. Its weak 3f was also a concern. 2 other things that made me lean toward the 12 were improving speed ratings and improving finish positions in its last 3. I also use Bris pps so I look at the pars for the race. I find these very useful. Only the 12 had run par in all 4 areas. The 9 had 2 and the 5 only 1. That sealed the deal for me. Went 12 &9 although I noted the trainer of the 9 is 0 for 23 at the meet. Enjoy the rest of your time at the Spa.
Tim
Hey Tim! Glad to hear you were able to connect on the race. It's interesting you say that about the 3 horse dutch because i did make that bet with my own cash, i was, however, a bit frustrated with the fact that i had him as a contender and not a top two on here! Thats the way it goes sometimes though!

Good luck tomorrow!
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