Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post - Two Races A Day, Keeps the Profits Coming this way

Lt1 · 08-18-2016, 08:41 PM

Hey Grant in race 2 the odds on all your horses were so good[16-1,17-1,37-1] that a 3 horse dutch bet might have been made. Fortunately I had my model to help with the betting decision. The 5 had a %med to high for win at 7f. Its weak 3f was also a concern. 2 other things that made me lean toward the 12 were improving speed ratings and improving finish positions in its last 3. I also use Bris pps so I look at the pars for the race. I find these very useful. Only the 12 had run par in all 4 areas. The 9 had 2 and the 5 only 1. That sealed the deal for me. Went 12 &9 although I noted the trainer of the 9 is 0 for 23 at the meet. Enjoy the rest of your time at the Spa.
Tim

08-18-2016, 08:41 PM	#43
Lt1 Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Valley Stream NY Posts: 11,374	Hey Grant in race 2 the odds on all your horses were so good[16-1,17-1,37-1] that a 3 horse dutch bet might have been made. Fortunately I had my model to help with the betting decision. The 5 had a %med to high for win at 7f. Its weak 3f was also a concern. 2 other things that made me lean toward the 12 were improving speed ratings and improving finish positions in its last 3. I also use Bris pps so I look at the pars for the race. I find these very useful. Only the 12 had run par in all 4 areas. The 9 had 2 and the 5 only 1. That sealed the deal for me. Went 12 &9 although I noted the trainer of the 9 is 0 for 23 at the meet. Enjoy the rest of your time at the Spa. Tim