Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post - Two Races A Day, Keeps the Profits Coming this way

Latekick · 08-18-2016, 08:38 AM

August 18th, Thursday

The two races today will be Saratoga 2nd, and Saratoga 9th

Saratoga 2nd:
I believe that i may be able to score with a price here early on in the card. It is a good spot to take advantage of some cheaper runners who may confuse the public.

My first choice is #5 NORM . As it so often happens when i am looking for these very specific spot plays, my top ranked horse is listed at a very nice price, and also doesn't have any suspicious class drop question marks. He is coming off of a win in his last race, and if you use that race it puts him right on top against these. He uses his energy early on, and is well rated in all necessary Early ratings including EP. At 12/1, he may be able to jump out and score at a nice price in this second race.

My second choice is #9 ILL FRATELLO. A horse with not too many question marks. He takes a reasonable drop after getting soundly beat against open claimers last time out but also did show some life in that race. His two back race puts him right in the mix. A horse who uses his energy a little bit late, and is well ranked in LPR, TT, and HID. He will have a lot left in the tank late, and may be able to run them down. 10/1 ML.

Contenders: 5-9-12
Top two: 5-9

Race 9:
When me and Pete looked at this race, it was clear right away who the best two horses were in the race. The #3 and #6 will be tough to beat in this one.
First, #3 QUEZON. Coming off of a sharp effort last time out, seems to be in good form. He uses his energy a bit late, and is well ranked in LPR, and HID. He has the correct rankings for a horse who wants to come running late and have something left. Hopefully he can sit mid pack, and explode with his late energy turning for home.

#6 DR. FAGERS GAL. Not quite Dr. Fager himself, but, it is Dr. Fagers Gal so maybe there in something there. Name handicapping aside, he's a horse who has been steadily improving as of late, running his 2nd best career line two back (which is the line i used by the way) and will be competitive class wise.
He uses his energy a bit early, and is well ranked in EPR, and TT, which is what is needed for an early expenditure horse to go on with it. This is a two horse race in my eyes. Hopefully the prices don't fall to low.

Contenders: 3-6-8
Top Two: 3-6

08-18-2016, 08:38 AM	#35
Latekick Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2013 Posts: 389	August 18th, Thursday The two races today will be Saratoga 2nd, and Saratoga 9th Saratoga 2nd: I believe that i may be able to score with a price here early on in the card. It is a good spot to take advantage of some cheaper runners who may confuse the public. My first choice is #5 NORM . As it so often happens when i am looking for these very specific spot plays, my top ranked horse is listed at a very nice price, and also doesn't have any suspicious class drop question marks. He is coming off of a win in his last race, and if you use that race it puts him right on top against these. He uses his energy early on, and is well rated in all necessary Early ratings including EP. At 12/1, he may be able to jump out and score at a nice price in this second race. My second choice is #9 ILL FRATELLO. A horse with not too many question marks. He takes a reasonable drop after getting soundly beat against open claimers last time out but also did show some life in that race. His two back race puts him right in the mix. A horse who uses his energy a little bit late, and is well ranked in LPR, TT, and HID. He will have a lot left in the tank late, and may be able to run them down. 10/1 ML. Contenders: 5-9-12 Top two: 5-9 Race 9: When me and Pete looked at this race, it was clear right away who the best two horses were in the race. The #3 and #6 will be tough to beat in this one. First, #3 QUEZON. Coming off of a sharp effort last time out, seems to be in good form. He uses his energy a bit late, and is well ranked in LPR, and HID. He has the correct rankings for a horse who wants to come running late and have something left. Hopefully he can sit mid pack, and explode with his late energy turning for home. #6 DR. FAGERS GAL. Not quite Dr. Fager himself, but, it is Dr. Fagers Gal so maybe there in something there. Name handicapping aside, he's a horse who has been steadily improving as of late, running his 2nd best career line two back (which is the line i used by the way) and will be competitive class wise. He uses his energy a bit early, and is well ranked in EPR, and TT, which is what is needed for an early expenditure horse to go on with it. This is a two horse race in my eyes. Hopefully the prices don't fall to low. Contenders: 3-6-8 Top Two: 3-6 Attached Images