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Dan, the Marathon Method was one of The Hat's spot plays. You can read up on it by searching for it in The Matchup section.
There is a stat only slightly altered from a few years back that showed that the Derby winner was in the top three positions at the mile call of the Derby in something like 37 of 41 times, with notable exceptions like Mine that Bird and Giacomo. Other races 10 furlongs or longer hold to that same statistic so one really goes against the flow betting a horse that is not close to the lead making up ground, or on the lead during these Marathons.
Good luck this weekend.
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