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1 - EP, has not shown first off layoff form, ran best race last race last year, but not his best time. Could be all the good nw1x horses had already won. Needs sprint lead and cannot get it today. Out.
2 - P, for sale for the 1st time??; pushed todays pace in last and faded; does not appear to have been competitive at this level in past; Out.
3 - P, looks like the class of the race, but only 4 races last year after sterling 2013; now is for sale; has pressed a 46 or less 2C in past without winning; might have advantage over this field, class wise. Never raced vs these in last 10 races.
4 - SP, maybe; lightest raced horse here; raced once at SA, discount that but 3 out of 4 layoff comebacks failed; Best route internal fractions look a bit slow; has right race positioning to be okay in this field; I think too slow and are willing to get beat by best trainer. Out.
5 - P, has closed from 4th thru 6th which is good today; beat the 2 handily last out and can run faster than last out. Contender.
6 - E needs open lead and cant get it. The 7 and 1 should keep him honest. Out.
7 - E possibly best fighter of the 1-6-7 but to no avail today. Out.
8 - SP, never competitive at this level before; won as C 50, but no better than 4th-5th this level, Out.
9 - SP, horse looks to have had several issues in past, but lightly raced as a result. Layoff looks to be no great concern and can push fast paces or close. Contender.
Pace 23.0-46.2-110.2
The 3 can handle this pace IF ready, but sale signal not what I want.
5 22.3-44.3-109 from 6-6-3
9 23.0-45.2-109 from 6-6-6
There are 3 or 4 that can lead so OTE shape. 5 is my first choice and 9 is 2nd choice.
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