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Search: Posts Made By: For The Lead
Forum: Selections 02-09-2018, 07:57 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 640
Posted By For The Lead
First things first. Congratulations, JEEBS, on...

First things first.
Congratulations, JEEBS, on having the winner.

Thanks for posting the PP’s. That allows me to comment.

The first thing is, I think this is a terrible race. (sorry Mick, we...
Forum: General Discussion 02-08-2018, 06:38 PM
Replies: 70
Views: 2,646
Posted By For The Lead
I can come up with similar numbers. I took two...

I can come up with similar numbers.
I took two separate years and performed your calculation.

Year 1 – 348,121 total horses
Of those, 24,204 horses were off more than 90 days.
Of those, 2,296...
Forum: General Discussion 02-07-2018, 06:05 PM
Replies: 70
Views: 2,646
Posted By For The Lead
Ted makes good points. Whether it is RDSS,...

Ted makes good points.

Whether it is RDSS, FTL Guidelines or whatever, Paceline Selection tools are just that, a means of selecting consistent and relevant lines to represent a horse. In the...
Forum: General Discussion 02-06-2018, 10:59 PM
Replies: 70
Views: 2,646
Posted By For The Lead
Thank you for your post and I hope whatever you...

Thank you for your post and I hope whatever you took away from my writings were beneficial to you.

With regard to your findings on horses OFF more than 90 days, I think you made an incorrect...
Forum: General Discussion 02-06-2018, 12:22 AM
Replies: 70
Views: 2,646
Posted By For The Lead
While I’m at it, I would like to give Neil S the...

While I’m at it, I would like to give Neil S the credit he is due and deserves.

Here is a guy that joined this site in September of 2007. In more than 10 years he has made just 65 postings. It...
Forum: General Discussion 02-06-2018, 12:19 AM
Replies: 70
Views: 2,646
Posted By For The Lead
Shoeless, you are certainly welcome.

Shoeless, you are certainly welcome.
Forum: General Discussion 02-05-2018, 01:16 AM
Replies: 70
Views: 2,646
Posted By For The Lead
Something that was NOT pointed out in Bill...

Something that was NOT pointed out in Bill Lyster’s post#4 of this thread was his final point.
“By the way, in all races at DMR the average number of contenders was 3.67!”

Let me illustrate what...
Forum: General Discussion 02-05-2018, 01:06 AM
Replies: 70
Views: 2,646
Posted By For The Lead
I’m glad I gave Mitch44 a new weapon. Ever since...

I’m glad I gave Mitch44 a new weapon. Ever since I posted that “Doc” GUARANTEED, what was to be his original 1,000 clients a 63% or higher win percentage and he learned something new, he uses it in...
Forum: General Discussion 02-05-2018, 01:04 AM
Replies: 70
Views: 2,646
Posted By For The Lead
Reply

Reply
Forum: General Discussion 02-05-2018, 12:47 AM
Replies: 70
Views: 2,646
Posted By For The Lead
I think you’re missing the point. What Bill...

I think you’re missing the point. What Bill Lyster was showing is the result of modeling. Good contender selection and good line selection are the best ingredients for a good model. In this case the...
Forum: General Discussion 02-03-2018, 01:48 AM
Replies: 70
Views: 2,646
Posted By For The Lead
Further CLARIFICATION

Actually, as a further point of clarity for all who may be reading this, the guidelines I use are the ORIGINAL SARTIN GUIDELINES with two additions of my own. Those two additions are the ML guideline...
Forum: General Discussion 02-03-2018, 01:36 AM
Replies: 70
Views: 2,646
Posted By For The Lead
To Bill Lyster

Although I have already done so privately, I want to publicly thank Bill Lyster for all the hard work, time and effort he put into this project. I can only say that I was taken aback by what he has...
Forum: Matchup Discussion 02-01-2018, 11:17 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 551
Posted By For The Lead
I was asked to look at this race. There’s not...

I was asked to look at this race. There’s not much to look at.

If you are not familiar with my guidelines there are many places to find them. At any rate, here they are applied to this race.

...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 01-21-2018, 02:06 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 340
Posted By For The Lead
Shoeless, Ted also made the data file...

Shoeless,

Ted also made the data file available to RDSS users.
http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=8784&page=6

It is post #57 in the same thread.
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 01-21-2018, 02:00 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 340
Posted By For The Lead
Shoeless, What you are looking for is here. ...

Shoeless,

What you are looking for is here.
http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=8784

It starts on page 5, post #43
The "title" of the first post is "A day at PRX"
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 01-17-2018, 05:38 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 727
Posted By For The Lead
Actually, at 3.50/1, the #10 horse WAS the...

Actually, at 3.50/1, the #10 horse WAS the betting favorite.

In nine races showing, the #10 horse has never broke better than 4th and has never been on the lead at the first call.
In nine races...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 01-16-2018, 11:52 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 727
Posted By For The Lead
First things first. I WOULD NOT have had the...

First things first. I WOULD NOT have had the winner of this race as it was OFF 190 days.

Next, thanks Bill for posting the PP’s.

Ok, on to each horse.

#1 – SCR
#2 – NO LINE. I’m not going...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 01-16-2018, 10:05 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 727
Posted By For The Lead
Thanks for the reply. That's very interesting....

Thanks for the reply.
That's very interesting. I've seen many horses run back in 3, 4 or 5 days and never heard or seen a stewards scratch because the horse was running back in that short of time...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 01-16-2018, 06:32 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 727
Posted By For The Lead
I'm not sure I understand. Are you suggesting...

I'm not sure I understand.
Are you suggesting that regardless of how the trainer feels about the horse's condition, the stewards forced the trainer to scratch because the trainer was racing the...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 01-16-2018, 06:26 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 727
Posted By For The Lead
Without PP's to follow along with it's hard to...

Without PP's to follow along with it's hard to say.
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 11-25-2017, 02:51 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 1,211
Posted By For The Lead
If the money earned came from any source “other...

If the money earned came from any source “other than” that which is specified in the categories following the words “other than” in the condition, then the horse would not be eligible.
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 11-24-2017, 11:35 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 1,211
Posted By For The Lead
Hi Bill, I think the condition you are...

Hi Bill,

I think the condition you are looking for is “NON WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER”

The abbreviation for this condition is “NW1X”.

The purpose of this...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 11-23-2017, 06:12 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 1,211
Posted By For The Lead
Bill V's post

By the way, in keeping with Bill V’s post on CD, race 11 there was also a HANDICAP race.

The highweight won paying $#10.40

For those not familiar with this concept, I stress reading the...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 11-23-2017, 05:51 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 1,211
Posted By For The Lead
Handicap races

Here is the link to the original thread on this topic.

http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=9176
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 11-23-2017, 01:50 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 1,211
Posted By For The Lead
Bill, There are SO MANY good threads in this...

Bill,

There are SO MANY good threads in this forum that people never see because they don’t go back and read them.

Basically, you and I “kicked off” this forum with the idea of teaching. There...
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