Go Back   Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up > Search Forums
Mark Forums Read
Google Site Search Get RDSS Sartin Library RDSS FAQs Conduct Register Site FAQ Members List Search Today's Posts

Showing results 1 to 25 of 488
Search took 0.03 seconds.
Search: Posts Made By: rdiam
Forum: General Discussion 12-27-2020, 12:15 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 519
Posted By rdiam
Instead of opinions, I prefer to deal in...

Instead of opinions, I prefer to deal in statistical facts when analyzing horse racing:

1. EVERY horse in a race has some chance to win. Win probability on some approaches 50%, win probability...
Forum: General Discussion 11-15-2020, 08:37 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 830
Posted By rdiam
Contender Selection Benchmarks

From Ken Massa of HTR:

"The holy grail for contender selection is to eliminate 50% of the horses, while retaining 90% of the winners. Take it from someone who has tested this to exhaustion, it is...
Forum: Selections 11-01-2020, 06:36 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 312
Posted By rdiam
Recap

Recap:

r1: B(7)-B(4):, $1 ex $19.00

r2: C(6)-A(12): Outright miss, do not bet C horses to win or on top in ex, paid $23.00 to win

r3: X(5)-B(3): Outright miss, winner paid $68.00

r4:...
Forum: Selections 11-01-2020, 01:11 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 312
Posted By rdiam
BEL Full Card 11/1/20

BEL Full Card 11/1/20:

Mandatory p6 payout today races 4-9, $0.20 min bet, $419,254 carryover

As = primary contenders, likely winners
Bs = secondary contenders, next most likely to win if As...
Forum: Races of Interest 10-31-2020, 10:23 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 855
Posted By rdiam
This was a race for cripples: bottom of the...

This was a race for cripples: bottom of the barrel claimer for NW2 LIFETIME. The 3 horse took 7 tries to win a bottom of the barrel MAIDEN claimer, then was off 6 months before trying again at...
Forum: Selections 10-25-2020, 11:06 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 348
Posted By rdiam
Results?

Nice to see more board members posting selections. HOWEVER, if you post selections WITHOUT following up with a recap/summary of results, you are wasting everyone's time. Follow the model of Lt1 if...
Forum: Selections 09-07-2020, 10:26 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 429
Posted By rdiam
Recap

Recap:

r1: A(6)-B(3)

r2: B(8)-A(7)

r3: C(6)-B(3)

r4: B(9)-A(7)
Forum: Selections 09-06-2020, 03:38 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 429
Posted By rdiam
DMR Full Card 9/6/20

DMR Full Card 9/6/20:

r1: As 2-6, Bs 3, Cs 4-5, Xs 1: contentious, fav vulnerable, 4 and 6 both need the lead, 6 should be speed of speed, if not 2 will close as will 5

r2: As 5-7, Bs 6-8,...
Forum: Selections 09-05-2020, 08:56 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 899
Posted By rdiam
The 7 starts a new form cycle when she moves to...

The 7 starts a new form cycle when she moves to Brad Cox barn in the race five back on Feb 15. She then improves in her race four back on March 7 in her first G3 win. After a layoff she reacts...
Forum: Selections 09-05-2020, 08:37 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 410
Posted By rdiam
Recap

Recap

r11: A(6)-A(4)

r12: C(4)-A(8)

r13: B(4)-A(1)

r14: A(18)-A(17)
Forum: Selections 09-05-2020, 08:33 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 363
Posted By rdiam
Recap

Recap:

r6: B(2)-A(6)

r7: A(9)-A(10)

r8: B(8)-C(1)

r9: A(9)-X(8)
Forum: Selections 09-05-2020, 08:27 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 344
Posted By rdiam
Recap

Recap:

r1: B(3)-B(5)

r2: B(7)-B(5)

r3: A(4)-A(6)

r4: A(5)-C(12)
Forum: Selections 09-05-2020, 08:23 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 345
Posted By rdiam
Recap

recap:

r6: B(5)-A(4)

r7: A(1)-A(9)

r8: B(1)-A(2)

r9: B(7)-C(2)
Forum: Selections 09-05-2020, 08:16 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 339
Posted By rdiam
Recap

Recap:

r1: A(6)-B(7)

r2: C(4)-B(2b)

r3: A(1)-B(5)

r4: A(1)-A(4)
Forum: Selections 09-05-2020, 12:50 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 345
Posted By rdiam
Jim Dandy Day r 6-12 SAR 9/5/20

Jim Dandy Day r6-12 Sar 9/5/20:

r6: As 4-7, Bs 5-6, Cs 1-8, Xs 2-3: contentious, fav legit, 6 possible overlay value, needs the lead though

r7: As 1-7-9, Cs 2-3-4-5-8, Xs 6: chaos, fav...
Forum: Selections 09-05-2020, 12:21 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 410
Posted By rdiam
Derby Day Races 11-14 CD 9//5/20

Derby Day Races 11-14 CD 9/5/20:

r11: As 4-6, Bs 2-3, Cs 7, Xs 8: chalky, fav legit, 4 needs the lead and get it, likely to be pounded by rebate syndicates, 6 closes if 4 fails

r12: As 8-9,...
Forum: Selections 09-05-2020, 11:54 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 339
Posted By rdiam
Jim Dandy Day Sar Early p5 9/5/20

Jim Dandy Day Sar Early p5 9/5/20

r1: As 3-6, Bs 1-2, Cs 4-7, Xs 5-8: contentious, fav legit, possible overlay value on 6

r2: As 1-6, Bs 2b, Cs 2-3-4-5: chalky, fav legit

r3: As 1-4, Bs...
Forum: Selections 09-05-2020, 11:14 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 363
Posted By rdiam
Derby Day Races 6-10 9/5/20

Derby Day Races 6-10 9/5/20:

r6: As 6-11, Bs 2-3-4-12, Cs 5-7-10, Xs 1: wide open, fav legit, possible overlay value on 4

r7: As 9-10, Bs 5-6-11-12, Cs 1-4-7, Xs 2-3-8: chaos, fav...
Forum: Selections 09-05-2020, 10:47 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 344
Posted By rdiam
Derby Day Early p5 CD 9/5/20

Derby Day Early p5 CD 7/5/20:

r1: As 1-2, Bs 3-4-5: chalky, fav legit, possible overlay value on 4

r2: As 1-4-6, Bs 5-7, Cs 2: contentious, fav vulnerable, 5 is well meant FTS, this race a...
Forum: Selections 09-05-2020, 09:29 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 899
Posted By rdiam
Comes 7-1-5 right idea looking at the 7 as a...

Comes 7-1-5

right idea looking at the 7 as a "C" contender, wrong idea thinking she too slow to win...

Richard
Forum: Selections 09-02-2020, 08:22 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 944
Posted By rdiam
2020 KY Derby

2020 KY Derby Sat 9/5, post time 7:01 pm EDT:

r14: As 17-18, Bs 10-15-16, Cs 2-4-6, Xs 1-3-5-7-8-9-11-12-13-14: wide open, 18 needs the lead, will be challenged by 4 early, 2 and 17 best...
Forum: Selections 09-02-2020, 07:55 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 899
Posted By rdiam
2020 KY Oaks

2020 KY Oaks, Fri 9/4, post time 5:45 EDT:

r12: As 1-5, Bs 4, Cs 3-7, Xs 2-6-8-9: chalky, 5 needs the lead, wins if can control pace, 1 will press and can win if runs back to Jun 6 race, 4 also...
Forum: Selections 08-23-2020, 07:06 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 604
Posted By rdiam
Nice Charlie. Glad to hear. Richard

Nice Charlie. Glad to hear.

Richard
Forum: Selections 08-23-2020, 06:16 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 604
Posted By rdiam
Recap

Recap:

r1: B(4)-A(5): $2 win $19.80, $1 ex $33.00

r2: C(6)-B(1a): missed, winner paid $17.00

r3: A(5)-C(6): $1 ex $5.60

r4: A(2)-B(7): $1 ex $7.10, $1 DD $3.20
Forum: Selections 08-23-2020, 12:11 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 604
Posted By rdiam
SAR Full Card 8/23/20 Mandatory p6 payout

SAR Full Card 8/23/20 Mandatory p6 payout (carryover $600,930, starts r4 at 2:54 EDT)

r1: As 5-6, Bs 1-4, Cs 2-3: contentious, fav vulnerable, 6 likely pounded by rebate syndicates, possible...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 488

 
Forum Jump

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2021, vBulletin Solutions Inc.

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 05:03 AM.