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Search: Posts Made By: J2EEDeveloper
Forum: RDSS 01-07-2010, 04:00 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 14,374
Posted By J2EEDeveloper
I understand that, but other readers may not....

I understand that, but other readers may not. They may think that all you need to know are the relative (generic) probabilities that the dealer's hole card will be such-and-such, based on full deck...
Forum: RDSS 01-07-2010, 03:53 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 14,374
Posted By J2EEDeveloper
I agree in general, with an added note. A drop in...

I agree in general, with an added note. A drop in class to win is fairly common, especially at minor tracks. Despite a good race that makes it seem the entry is in top form, when it returns to its...
Forum: RDSS 01-07-2010, 03:37 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 14,374
Posted By J2EEDeveloper
Exactly, with the caveat that the Surrender...

Exactly, with the caveat that the Surrender option is used appropriately. Unless you are counting, and know the various probabilities involved on a hand-by-hand basis, Surrender is a poor choice....
Forum: RDSS 01-07-2010, 03:33 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 14,374
Posted By J2EEDeveloper
That is a fair approximation that will work in...

That is a fair approximation that will work in most cases. The question is, how do you determine the proportions of state-bred to open races when some or most may be in older races (early in the...
Forum: RDSS 01-07-2010, 10:37 AM
Replies: 18
Views: 14,374
Posted By J2EEDeveloper
Distinguishing contenders and non-contenders...

Distinguishing contenders and non-contenders using APV/CR when those entries rate high on TE depends on the values used in CR. The CR I developed for my own use in the 1980s (and gave to Dr. Sartin...
Forum: RDSS 01-07-2010, 10:12 AM
Replies: 18
Views: 14,374
Posted By J2EEDeveloper
That is extremely helpful. Thanks! Stated another...

That is extremely helpful. Thanks! Stated another way, 91% of entries with APV in the range 1-7 (10-70% of today's purse) failed to win. I know there are always exceptions, but I have a very strong...
Forum: RDSS 01-06-2010, 07:28 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 14,374
Posted By J2EEDeveloper
Apv/cr

Thanks for the clarification. I watched a YouTube video clip of a race you handicapped, noticed you started with the top APV/CR, then (much to my surprise) entered all or most of the entries as...
Forum: RDSS 01-06-2010, 11:56 AM
Replies: 18
Views: 14,374
Posted By J2EEDeveloper
Contender Selection/Eliminations

In the first stage of race analysis, the color designations for top 3 are based on APV and CR. That immediately points out entries that may be glaringly deficient in this area (45%, 50%). Are there...
Forum: RDSS 12-08-2009, 09:38 AM
Replies: 58
Views: 73,486
Posted By J2EEDeveloper
Response

Ted,
I appreciate your detailed comments. There are three "gray areas" that I would like to clear up.

First, yes, I am a software developer. I have no intention, nor have I ever had any...
Forum: RDSS 12-04-2009, 10:14 AM
Replies: 58
Views: 73,486
Posted By J2EEDeveloper
As I said before, I have had a lot of good...

As I said before, I have had a lot of good results using the Sartin Methodology and pencil-and-paper methods. As BJennet pointed out, there is a finite limit to the number of bettable races that can ...
Forum: RDSS 12-03-2009, 05:48 PM
Replies: 58
Views: 73,486
Posted By J2EEDeveloper
Pace Lines

BJennet,
Thanks for the advice. I appreciate it. That is generally the approach I use, with recency and interim races considered. For example, if an entry has a record of 5.5f good, 6f good, 6f...
Forum: RDSS 12-03-2009, 05:34 PM
Replies: 58
Views: 73,486
Posted By J2EEDeveloper
Have you ever considered borrowing another...

Have you ever considered borrowing another neighbor's trimmer? That is not meant to be facetious. I hunt with a bow that very few modern bowhunters can use successfully; they have come to depend so...
Forum: RDSS 12-03-2009, 11:32 AM
Replies: 58
Views: 73,486
Posted By J2EEDeveloper
I am well aware of the difficulties involved in...

I am well aware of the difficulties involved in generating a positive return, especially with a software application. I am also well aware that the solution (and the profit) is in zigging when...
Forum: RDSS 12-03-2009, 11:14 AM
Replies: 58
Views: 73,486
Posted By J2EEDeveloper
There is a tacit assumption in the Sartin...

There is a tacit assumption in the Sartin Methodogy that in every race, there is one particular combination of pace lines for one particular set of true contenders that will accurately predict the...
Forum: RDSS 12-03-2009, 10:53 AM
Replies: 58
Views: 73,486
Posted By J2EEDeveloper
Proceeding from a superior role is not useful for...

Proceeding from a superior role is not useful for either of us. In a test trial, it is reasonable to assume that the learning materials provided would have been sufficient to cover the topic, and...
Forum: RDSS 12-02-2009, 09:05 PM
Replies: 58
Views: 73,486
Posted By J2EEDeveloper
Modern Sartin Methodology

Ted,
I appreciate your lengthy reply, and I will certainly take your advice seriously. To avoid any misconceptions, I am not a confirmed loser attempting to validate my losses by declaring...
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