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Search: Posts Made By: Bill Lyster
Forum: General Discussion 05-11-2018, 09:54 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 197
Posted By Bill Lyster
Belatedly, Happy Birthday to the head "MUM" ...

Belatedly, Happy Birthday to the head "MUM"

All the best and more.....
Forum: General Discussion 05-05-2018, 06:20 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 348
Posted By Bill Lyster
not only that, but the tote was down last I...

not only that, but the tote was down last I checked. No bets until its back up.
Forum: Matchup Discussion 05-05-2018, 12:06 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 527
Posted By Bill Lyster
Agreed that Mendelssohn is a question mark and he...

Agreed that Mendelssohn is a question mark and he did press on turf. But even unadjusted six furlong and mile times put him near the front with a top two mile time and a 3 furlong closing time that...
Forum: Races of Interest 05-04-2018, 06:49 PM
Replies: 24
Views: 1,953
Posted By Bill Lyster
Lily in the Oaks (way back and no big move) ran...

Lily in the Oaks (way back and no big move) ran two sprints earning 74-77 adjusted SRs then an 80 ASR in the route prior to the AQU race that was -17 variant. Variants in the four races she ran are...
Forum: Matchup Discussion 05-04-2018, 04:41 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 364
Posted By Bill Lyster
If you use the splits for Mendelsohn's UaE Derby...

If you use the splits for Mendelsohn's UaE Derby for Rayya, she might compromise the 14, who is running outside on a short trip to the turn with plenty of early pressing speed inside that just might...
Forum: Races of Interest 05-04-2018, 04:28 PM
Replies: 24
Views: 1,953
Posted By Bill Lyster
Paul, I am going to see how My Miss Lily runs...

Paul,
I am going to see how My Miss Lily runs in the Oaks. She ran on the -17 variant at AQU, the same as Vino Rosso and that line makes her very sustained and 2nd on TPR to the 14. I will adjust...
Forum: Races of Interest 05-04-2018, 02:00 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 871
Posted By Bill Lyster
Gene Many thanks for your work. Marathon...

Gene

Many thanks for your work. Marathon wise, this looks really great even with the 3-4 and 19 going for the lead, all of whom should be cooked by the top of the stretch.

Thanks again,

Bill
Forum: Races of Interest 04-20-2018, 01:54 PM
Replies: 35
Views: 2,615
Posted By Bill Lyster
An update from columnist Jon White today, ...

An update from columnist Jon White today,

"But Kentucky Derby history shows that it is important for a horse to be able to make their move before they reach the final furlong. That's because 52 of...
Forum: Races of Interest 04-17-2018, 12:39 PM
Replies: 35
Views: 2,615
Posted By Bill Lyster
One more from last year: 46090

One more from last year:

46090
Forum: Races of Interest 04-17-2018, 12:33 PM
Replies: 35
Views: 2,615
Posted By Bill Lyster
Concerning the above post, something from last...

Concerning the above post, something from last year that emphasizes the need to be on or near the lead at the mile call in the Derby. Last year only adds to those stats as the winner ran on or near...
Forum: Races of Interest 04-17-2018, 12:15 PM
Replies: 35
Views: 2,615
Posted By Bill Lyster
No problem. All I needed was the charts from last...

No problem. All I needed was the charts from last weekend and a list of the top 20 points earners. It was a rolling work in progress until then.

I found that a couple of horses running styles...
Forum: Races of Interest 04-15-2018, 04:09 PM
Replies: 35
Views: 2,615
Posted By Bill Lyster
Top20 pts contenders for derby by running style

46077
See Sheet 4 for contenders listed by running style.

I honestly do not know how/where to rank Mendelsohn due to the runup issue and how the various splits actually work out. His 9.5 furlong...
Forum: Races of Interest 04-10-2018, 12:12 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 871
Posted By Bill Lyster
Did Gene ever wake up!? Curious as to his...

Did Gene ever wake up!? Curious as to his version of time and splits?

Thanks,
Forum: RDSS 2.1 04-07-2018, 12:01 PM
Replies: 100
Sticky: Bugs List!
Views: 4,714
Posted By Bill Lyster
Conditions info ???

This could be an issue tangentially if one does not read the conditions carefully.

The race is for Cl 5, N1-8M, but the race conditions appears to use current year months and is interpreted as Cl...
Forum: Races of Interest 04-01-2018, 01:07 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 871
Posted By Bill Lyster
This is just from memory, but the UAE track does...

This is just from memory, but the UAE track does not give up intermediate times like this very often. The 111 six furlong split and the mile time look to be competitive with any US track times.
...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 03-31-2018, 11:53 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 637
Posted By Bill Lyster
A reminder

Each PP in RDSS shows the month of birth and year for every horse opposite the name,coloring and sex. In this case March 2013

45952
Forum: General Discussion 03-13-2018, 11:50 AM
Replies: 78
Views: 4,888
Posted By Bill Lyster
A friend pointed out to me that of the three...

A friend pointed out to me that of the three Handicaps all were won by horses running in the top 3 all the way around the track, i.e., early.

The only winner that was not a high weight, at...
Forum: General Discussion 03-13-2018, 11:40 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 428
Posted By Bill Lyster
Richard, so sorry to here of your Mother's...

Richard, so sorry to here of your Mother's passing. Remember the good times.


Bill
Forum: General Discussion 03-11-2018, 11:48 AM
Replies: 78
Views: 4,888
Posted By Bill Lyster
SA and AQU results

AQU result is 5-6-3, the 9 scratched and the 5 was not top 3 hi wt

SA result 7-8-4, the 5 scratched. Result was 7-8 with the 4 coming in 4th.

Overall result was 2 wins out of three and low...
Forum: General Discussion 03-10-2018, 03:02 PM
Replies: 78
Views: 4,888
Posted By Bill Lyster
Tampa results

Finish 6-10-5, the top three high weights finished 1-2-3 with the 2nd hi wt winning. Very low prices.
Forum: General Discussion 03-10-2018, 11:07 AM
Replies: 78
Views: 4,888
Posted By Bill Lyster
Another Handicap race from Tampa

The high weights are the 5-6-10

45803

45804
Forum: General Discussion 03-09-2018, 09:40 PM
Replies: 78
Views: 4,888
Posted By Bill Lyster
Tomorrow's Aqueduct Feature is a Handicap race

The high weights are the 8, 9, 3

45799

45800

And of course the Santa Anita Handicap with the high weights 7-8-4/5


45801
Forum: RDSS 2.1 03-08-2018, 01:01 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 249
Posted By Bill Lyster
Charlie: From this data and the results from...

Charlie:

From this data and the results from the SEGMENTS screen for the turf horses you can see why FTL stays away from the turf races. The propensity of dirt horses to be top 2 or 3 at the 2nd...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 03-08-2018, 12:44 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 527
Posted By Bill Lyster
On to race 9

I think the 1 is a hidden early and will combat the 8 on the lead. The 8 won a MC12.5 race in its 7th start. The 1 wanted the lead in C 12.5 n2l race with only 7 starts. Todays race is an C10 N2L...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 03-08-2018, 11:04 AM
Replies: 10
Views: 401
Posted By Bill Lyster
I think Powerline the 8 leads wire to wire,...

I think Powerline the 8 leads wire to wire, having put away the 1, leaving the 3 and 9 to fight it out for place. I used line 2 for the 1 because the pace was too fast and line 3 on the 3 because...
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