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Search: Posts Made By: Bill Lyster
Forum: Selections 11-06-2025, 07:37 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 4,343
Posted By Bill Lyster
Friday race 10 from BC card

Last race Friday, Race 10

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The TM sort from NP shows the highest rated horse to be the winner, Gstaad. Outfielder is 2nd, and North Coast was third, so Euros finished 1st and 3rd.

55088...
Forum: Selections 11-06-2025, 07:30 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 4,343
Posted By Bill Lyster
RDSS and New Pace in races with Euros

IN Fridays 8th race NP, using TM values looked like this:

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WE only have TM info for the Euros. See how they are much larger than the US contingent.

The 10 won and the 12 showed.

55086...
Forum: Software Support, Suggestions, Bugs 11-06-2025, 07:14 PM
Replies: 31
Views: 13,600
Posted By Bill Lyster
Since the update, RDSS has stalled completely,...

Since the update, RDSS has stalled completely, meaning that any area I hit with the mouse ends up with a form of a beep. The only thing that clears this is to shut down the computer and restart. I...
Forum: Announcing the new RDSS Update - Works with the NEW TrackMaster Store 11-02-2025, 10:02 AM
Replies: 37
Views: 17,396
Posted By Bill Lyster
Ted, Not able to access old race charts via...

Ted,

Not able to access old race charts via the right click on past pacelines both days. I dont do this very often, but was checking to see 2F races won when raced against the boys, like what...
Forum: Selections 11-01-2025, 10:41 AM
Replies: 55
Views: 4,343
Posted By Bill Lyster
Yesterday race 7 #1 Euro , the 12 placed 3...

Yesterday race 7

#1 Euro , the 12 placed
3 Euro, the 10 won at 20/1. $1 Exacta paid $170.40

Race 9
#14 was #1 Euro, won as the heavy favorite
#8 placed, was #1 US, exacta $80
Forum: Selections 10-31-2025, 09:47 AM
Replies: 55
Views: 4,343
Posted By Bill Lyster
Only a few situations pop out. I have BC...

Only a few situations pop out.

I have BC info from 2008 but summarized only through 2020.

Classic; Top 2 ML won 10/13 times; top 4 12/13

Distaff: Top 2 ML won 7 times, top 4 13 times
...
Forum: Miscellaneous 06-24-2025, 11:38 AM
Replies: 16
Views: 4,786
Posted By Bill Lyster
After demoting the 1, the real early, 3, looks...

After demoting the 1, the real early, 3, looks better.

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Forum: Miscellaneous 06-23-2025, 06:47 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 4,786
Posted By Bill Lyster
Race 9

LP screen with all contenders but three have 12F races chosen for them. At first glance you see they were top 2 Rx 3, but the winner is at the bottom. Lets look at each of the 12F horses for a line...
Forum: Miscellaneous 06-23-2025, 05:43 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 4,786
Posted By Bill Lyster
Arrow Race 8 You gotta believe

No tricks here, just the best read outs: The LP screen and then the LP with two demoted for not having Rx3 points;

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The Segments screen for the 8 remaining horses sorted by...
Forum: Miscellaneous 06-23-2025, 04:09 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 4,786
Posted By Bill Lyster
Field after demotion of horses with 0 Rx3 points ...

Field after demotion of horses with 0 Rx3 points
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The 8 is the worst of the Pressers and the 4 is the worst of the Sustained horses.
54497

The Segments screen sorted prior to final...
Forum: Miscellaneous 06-23-2025, 03:57 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 4,786
Posted By Bill Lyster
5/32, race 7

This is the LP screen after demoting horses with no Rx3 pts and after screening the remaining field by sort the Segments screen by running style. There were only P and S horses in this race. the...
Forum: Miscellaneous 06-22-2025, 04:38 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 4,786
Posted By Bill Lyster
Race 6 turf

At first look, there is a lot of color on the LP screen. Nice exacta and trifecta if you can get it. The winner is top 2 Rx 3

One particular note is that three of the horses have positive EPR...
Forum: Miscellaneous 06-22-2025, 02:45 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 4,786
Posted By Bill Lyster
More on the 8 horse

The 8 was a long sprinter going in a route. I have noticed that the most likely sprinters to do well in routes have good PL and BPP numbers as shown here.

If look at the %med for the 8 it is 69.4...
Forum: Miscellaneous 06-22-2025, 02:27 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 4,786
Posted By Bill Lyster
Race 5

Again we start with two horses with no Rx3 pts, the 4 and 9. We can also note that the first three finishers came from horses with the 3 highest speed ratings, that all three top finishers were top 4...
Forum: Miscellaneous 06-22-2025, 01:57 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 4,786
Posted By Bill Lyster
Race 4 Maidens

First Look at the LP screen, notice the 3 and 6 have no Rx3 points and the two FTS horses have no PL rank - all good.

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Look at Segments sorted by running style. Of the 4 pressers the 6...
Forum: Miscellaneous 06-22-2025, 11:17 AM
Replies: 16
Views: 4,786
Posted By Bill Lyster
Race 3 a six horse field Notice that all...

Race 3 a six horse field

Notice that all the horses came from much shorter distances than the 4 and that the pace of race was much slower which is almost always the case with marathons vs mid...
Forum: Miscellaneous 06-22-2025, 10:43 AM
Replies: 16
Views: 4,786
Posted By Bill Lyster
Sure Tim, when I wrote that it was from my...

Sure Tim, when I wrote that it was from my discussions with FTL and his point was that any horse who PPs showed it never gained or passed another horse was some kind of early. So it could be an F,...
Forum: Miscellaneous 06-21-2025, 10:57 AM
Replies: 16
Views: 4,786
Posted By Bill Lyster
Woodbine 05/31 races

A good card to practice on.
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This was race 2; race one only had 4 runner.
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For this exercise I will use best of last three races and explain if I did not do that. There are very...
Forum: Live Zoom Tutorials 05-25-2025, 11:46 AM
Replies: 21
Views: 8,120
Posted By Bill Lyster
The minimum F3 values for 95% of the winners: 6...

The minimum F3 values for 95% of the winners:
6 furlongs: 48.0
6.5 furlongs: 48.3
7.0 furlongs: 51.2
8.0 furlongs: 46.4
Forum: Live Zoom Tutorials 05-25-2025, 11:01 AM
Replies: 21
Views: 8,120
Posted By Bill Lyster
Good point Tim. So I went back to the Model and...

Good point Tim.
So I went back to the Model and asked for data that would tell me what the F3 values were for 6-6.5-7-8 at BAQ/AQU. Now these values are for all races at BAQ, no further breakdown...
Forum: RDSS - Leverage/Pace 05-25-2025, 10:46 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 3,707
Posted By Bill Lyster
Great Job Brian, keep it up!

Great Job Brian, keep it up!
Forum: Live Zoom Tutorials 05-24-2025, 11:53 AM
Replies: 21
Views: 8,120
Posted By Bill Lyster
Follow UP on last post

Six races at 8.3 furlongs won by horses with % med out of 90% win range. All things considered, there are a lot of similarities in these out of range % med winners. Read on.

All races from PRX...
Forum: Live Zoom Tutorials 05-24-2025, 10:13 AM
Replies: 21
Views: 8,120
Posted By Bill Lyster
Well done Tim. I know that at PRX a fairly...

Well done Tim. I know that at PRX a fairly substantial number of winners go wire to wire, depending on who ate his or her Wheaties that day.

I made a note relating to the outliers that I...
Forum: Live Zoom Tutorials 05-23-2025, 06:16 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 8,120
Posted By Bill Lyster
Subject: Model refinements It is clear from...

Subject: Model refinements

It is clear from last night and even before that, that several handicappers have little or no exposure to Excel and how to use it.

That in itself does not disqualify...
Forum: General Discussion 05-10-2025, 11:56 AM
Replies: 12
Views: 3,300
Posted By Bill Lyster
Barb Happy Birthday. Keep that kid of yours nose...

Barb Happy Birthday. Keep that kid of yours nose to the grindstone. He is doing a great job.

All the best,

Bill
Showing results 26 to 50 of 500

 
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