Forum: General Discussion
04-20-2006, 03:58 AM
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Replies: 2
Views: 8,332
intruders
As a developer, I understand how easy it is to duplicate the work of others, and how frustrating that can be. The example of bootstrapping is an algorithm that reverse-engineers decisions to extract...
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Forum: Previous 'Handicapping Discussion' Forum
03-23-2006, 02:41 AM
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Replies: 15
Views: 28,539
developer
RichieP wrote: No I am not the developer of RDSS. Read the post carefully.
I assume that when someone is privy to details of an upcoming app, they are involved in some way, directly or...
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Forum: Previous 'Handicapping Discussion' Forum
03-22-2006, 02:58 PM
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Replies: 15
Views: 28,539
street guy linguistics
After posting a comment about expertise, I ran across this on PA:
<My favorite is one that I am currently involved in initial testing on.
It is called Racing Decision Support System or...
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Forum: Previous 'Handicapping Discussion' Forum
03-22-2006, 11:21 AM
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Replies: 15
Views: 28,539
levels of knowledge
My suggestions are both easy reads--"Decision Traps" is a small paperback written like a pop "self-help" book. Tversky's varous writings are only important for the first few pages (typical of...
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Forum: Previous 'Handicapping Discussion' Forum
03-22-2006, 12:53 AM
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Replies: 15
Views: 28,539
small numbers
RichieP wrote: <I totally believe in short term data. Not into this long term stuff. Means nothing to me.>
A suggestion: Do a search on Google or Google Scholar for Tversky and Law of Small...
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Forum: Selections
03-22-2006, 12:12 AM
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Replies: 0
Views: 5,453
Free Selections March 22
March 21 Results (6 Races)
#8 San Tan Chev won at BM at $3.40
Current Status +$19.00 (model)
Actual Return $271.40 - 230 = +$41.40
March 22 Selections [15 bets]
Birmingham - Matinee
Race...
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Forum: Previous 'Handicapping Discussion' Forum
03-21-2006, 11:45 AM
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Replies: 4
Views: 7,086
breakage
Another consideration in the breakage area is that the illustration given for greyhounds is not the model itself--it is an illustration of how we create models. SImilarly, the [12.00] truncating...
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Forum: Previous 'Handicapping Discussion' Forum
03-21-2006, 11:38 AM
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Replies: 4
Views: 7,086
breakage
Breakage is not a consideration, because we only use real world odds, rather than morning lines or projected odds. There is never a conflict, because what you get at the mutuel window is what you...
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Forum: Selections
03-21-2006, 01:26 AM
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Replies: 0
Views: 3,677
Free Selections March 21
Current Status +$27.60 (model)
Actual Return $268.00 - 218 = +$50.00
March 21 Selections
Bluffs Run - Matinee
Race 5 - #5 Thisbee's Gotyou
Race 7 - #5 B's Knott Head
Race 12 - #4 Hilan...
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Forum: Previous 'Handicapping Discussion' Forum
03-21-2006, 01:24 AM
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Replies: 18
Views: 6,353
trip handicapping
socantra wrote: <It's also extremely hard to transfer the skill by words alone. I don't think I've ever known anyone who became proficient at body language out of a book. It's a style that almost...
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Forum: Previous 'Handicapping Discussion' Forum
03-21-2006, 01:13 AM
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Replies: 19
Views: 13,452
Big Winners
RichieP wrote: <2) Complete preperation the night before of paceline selection and advance identifying of potential betting opportunities. BATTLE PLAN if you will.>
Look at this point again. There...
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Forum: Previous 'Handicapping Discussion' Forum
03-21-2006, 01:05 AM
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Replies: 4
Views: 7,086
Detailed recordkeeping
Example of detailed recordkeeping. All selections are one per race, all wagers are flat bets to win, with the exception of races indicated (all of which, by the way, lost!). It would be easy to make...
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Forum: Selections
03-15-2006, 02:55 AM
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Replies: 0
Views: 4,710
Free Selections March 15
Don't laugh. I managed to keep alive while I was learning to handicap thoroughbreds by mechanically betting greyhound and harness models. Now I bet all three, with little preference. The processes...
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