Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   Pimlico Special -Entropy (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=9820)

Bill V. 05-15-2014 05:39 PM

Pimlico Special -Entropy
 
3 Attachment(s)
Here is my look using the Sartin program Entropy

Here are my pace lines - I stayed within 1 furlong of the 9.5 distance
First here are some notes about Entropy. No track to track or daily variants are used
All adjustments come from the dream race -that is the fastest 1st 2nd an 3rd fractions from the pace lines entered.
Entropy includes the phase 1 numbers. The final sort screen list the various declaration/velocity readouts in compounded numbers.
The sort line score 2 lowest total scores are one method of a wager selection. I will use that here.

Attachment 37578

Here are the adjusted lines

Attachment 37579

Here is the energy generator

Attachment 37580


next post will have my readouts


..

Bill V. 05-15-2014 05:44 PM

Phase 1
 
2 Attachment(s)
using the phase 1 screen in Entropy


I will keep the top 5 TPR (CPR) horses and if they are not included in the top 5 . the top EPR and LPR horses

H3 175.8 #1 EPR 91.0
H6 175.0 #1 LPR 93.6
H5 174.5
H9 173.1
H2 172.9
H8 172.9

Attachment 37581

Now the sort -Low is best on the line score so its 6 9 and 2

Attachment 37582

Bill V. 05-16-2014 06:17 PM

win and "almost exacta :)
 
1 Attachment(s)
The 6 wins. The 2 runs third

Detailed explanations

Attachment 37591

Bill V. 05-16-2014 07:02 PM

Chart
 
1 Attachment(s)
Here is the result chart

Attachment 37592

tom 05-16-2014 11:26 PM

30 lengths back!
I think Mike smith shipped in on Zenyatta! :D

Bill V. 05-17-2014 08:00 AM

2 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by tom (Post 96997)
30 lengths back!
I think Mike smith shipped in on Zenyatta! :D

If we use the Pimlico Special pace line the next time Rev runs. It might seem like
we are making a very big adjustment if we only enter 9 beaten lengths:)

But in reality it is not much

Here are Revolutions pace lines from the PM using the full beaten lengths
and using only 9

the readouts on the energy generator are still close


Attachment 37601

Attachment 37600


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