Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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RichieP 04-04-2006 12:16 PM

Wed Aqu Race 5 / Feedback needed
 
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If any members here work Aqueduct can you help me please? Tomorrow's 5th race is scheduled at 8f. Nice big field listed.

Ok can folks that are using either:

Synthesis
Validator - any version
Speculator - any version

can you work the race using YOUR line selection method. Then hide to whatever number u do.

OK here are a set of criteria. Please look at your readouts and first identify:
1)the top 2 Epr horses.

ok now that you have them does either of them show in the top THREE of ALL the following categories:
1) LPR
2) BL/BL
3) PRIMARY LINE SCORE
4) V/DC - ( 3 screen on Spec series)

ok he has to be in top 3 of ALL the above listed categories please.

One final question. IF you have a qualifier is he 2.5 lenghts or CLOSER on the SCBL( second call beaten lenghts ) readout?

do you have a horse based on YOUR line selection that meets ALL the above criteria. If you do can you post who it is? I will do the same when I get the file later.

I ask because I am working on something and need help from as many as possible.

thanx in advance for any replies. I am gonna wait myself til the scratches are announced for that race as there are bound to be quite a few ok?

Richie:)

Rverge 04-04-2006 05:17 PM

aqu
 
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hi richie
here is my screens from spec. 1 and 7. would toss the one if it is not scratched. 3 days ago "vaned off"

Rverge 04-04-2006 05:19 PM

aqu
 
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2nd screen

RichieP 04-04-2006 07:43 PM

Before scratches I get:

# 6 - Karakorum Tuxedo ( 20/1 ml) as the sole qualifier on all categories and scbl.

I will see tomorrow after 11 am if the scratches change anything

Richie

Rverge 04-04-2006 08:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RichieP
Before scratches I get:

# 6 - Karakorum Tuxedo ( 20/1 ml) as the sole qualifier on all categories and scbl.

I will see tomorrow after 11 am if the scratches change anything

Richie

richie
i went back and did the 2nd line back for 6. still comes up botom 5.
What line did you use?
john
ps work 7-3. will miss the race

RichieP 04-04-2006 08:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rverge
richie
i went back and did the 2nd line back for 6. still comes up botom 5.
What line did you use?
john
ps work 7-3. will miss the race

Hi John,
I used line 3.

I treat these 1 turn miles like a sprint fwiw. Going kinda way back for this line but the horse is 2nd bcak off layoff, last wasn't too bad, shows very sharp work couple of days back, has BETTERED this speed rating at THIS track last year at 6.5f.

Guessing game thats why I am hoping to get at least 4-5 replies beside mine.

Can I ask a favor please? going by YOUR readouts can u check the opening post and see if one of YOUR horses fits those categories I listed?

top 2 - epr
top 3 - tt-bl/bl-spn-3 screen

then if one does on the bl/bl screen is he 2.5 lenghts or closer on the "scbl" readout?

Thanx for the feedback John!
Richie

alydar_ David 04-04-2006 11:26 PM

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Richie,

Here's what I've got pre-scratches (which is pretty much a joke at AQU as we all know).

If #1 Booming is running then this race is a pass as far as I'm concerned. Why? Because there is no data for his third race back which is his best finish in his last three races (best in his last eight races, for that matter).

Yeah, yeah, I know it was only 5.5F, but I want to see what kind of effort he exerted in that race. He came second and it was 39 days ago. Not exactly irrelevant.

Man, I really abhor missing data. Welcome to Trackmaster.

Anyway, I'll post another screen shot after scratches tomorrow. I'll answer your questions then as it will be more meaningful; it's a safe bet at least one horse will be scratched from this race. Now *there* is a bet I'd like to make! He he.

admin 04-05-2006 03:28 AM

AQU 0405 Race 5
 
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Rich here are my readouts
of my top 5

admin 04-05-2006 03:35 AM

Aqu 0405 Race 5
 
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Hii Rich
If I can repost this after scratched I will

here are 2 more shots
neither of my top 2 EPRs (Both projected lines!)
qualifies

RichieP 04-05-2006 07:28 AM

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Quote:

Originally Posted by alydar_David
Richie,


If #1 Booming is running then this race is a pass as far as I'm concerned. Why? Because there is no data for his third race back which is his best finish in his last three races (best in his last eight races, for that matter).

Yeah, yeah, I know it was only 5.5F, but I want to see what kind of effort he exerted in that race. He came second and it was 39 days ago. Not exactly irrelevant.

David,
Maybe this will help about line 3. This is what u would see "Validator wise" comparing lines 2 ( 6f) and line 3( 5.5f). According to Validator line 2 OVERALL is a bit stronger than line 3.

The ONLY category line 3 is best at is EPR matey. all others the 6f line is best.

screen shots of the 2 pacelines


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