Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   SAR 07-25-12 Race (1) using Synergism 3 (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=8515)

partsnut 07-25-2012 07:23 AM

SAR 07-25-12 Race (1) using Synergism 3
 
5 Attachment(s)
SAR 07-25-12 Race (1) using Synergism 3

I projected the pace to run (Slow 4) which should favor the early type runner.
There should be mild pace pressure here.
The (4) might be the pacesetter here but may will not have enough to hold on. The (7) is a presser that exhibits early speed and the ability to sustain the pace. This horse would be a value play for me at 5-1 odds or better.
So this would be my choice if the odds are right.
The (8) will be in the mix as well and will be closing at the finish.

I have also attached the "Black Box" selections from Raybo's spread sheet using just my contenders.

partsnut 07-25-2012 01:20 PM

Results
 
1 Attachment(s)
The pace went a little faster then I anticipated so that opened it up for a closer.
The (4) horse led all the way and the (8) closed as I expected but the (7)
was never there and never got the odds I required to bet it. I never bet exactas or the exotics so for me this was a pass race. I pride myself in discipline. I only bet when I feel there is value in a race.


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