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Capcondo 01-11-2012 04:09 PM

Matchers Forum Help Race
 
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I got a little time today and remembered a race from a month ago at PARX. Cheap claimers. Short field of 6 horses. Here are the PP's:

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Capcondo 01-11-2012 04:12 PM

Here are the rest
 
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Capcondo 01-11-2012 04:43 PM

Analysis of the race
 
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I have marked the running styles of the contenders.

The 5 and 6 were in a tandem race which I decided to use as the projected pace of the race. It is 24.3 48.9 1:14.2 1:45.1 (adjusted final time to 8.5 furlongs).

I determined that the 4 was not a contender and the 5 failed off the tandem race. My contenders and their lines appear below.

Attachment 25654

I determined the race was going to run early which eliminated the 1 and the 6. This left the 2 and 3 who wer both rated off 7 furlong races. I thought the 3 would be in front of the 2 as the early positions in their running lines show.

The 3 was my bet. The chart appears below.

Attachment 25655

The pace was a bit slower than I thought. The 3 wired the field.

RichieP 01-12-2012 06:42 AM

Thanks "Cap" for laying it out for us. Nice use of running stlyes,tandems and a call on the race going early :)

Much appreciated


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